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published in Blogs
Jun 07, 2023

Swing vs Trend: JNJ (3.04%) and MRK(6.71%) Performance Comparison & Future Predictions

Based on the provided information, it appears that the Swing Trader strategy focusing on medium volatility stocks for active trading has generated a return of 3.04%. On the other hand, the Trend Trader strategy concentrating on popular stocks, utilizing both technical analysis (TA) and fundamental analysis (FA), has achieved a return of 6.71%.

Here's a breakdown of the comparison:

  1. Strategy Focus:

    • Swing Trader: The focus is on medium volatility stocks. This indicates that the strategy seeks to take advantage of price fluctuations in stocks that exhibit moderate price swings.
    • Trend Trader: The focus is on popular stocks. This implies that the strategy identifies and trades stocks that are currently in favor or experiencing upward momentum.
  2. Return on Investment:

    • Swing Trader: The return generated by this strategy is 3.04%. This means that for every dollar invested, the strategy has yielded a profit of approximately 3.04 cents.
    • Trend Trader: The return achieved by this strategy is 6.71%. This indicates that for every dollar invested, the strategy has generated a profit of around 6.71 cents.
  3. Approach:

    • Swing Trader: The strategy likely combines both technical analysis (TA) and fundamental analysis (FA). Technical analysis involves analyzing price charts, patterns, and indicators to identify potential trading opportunities. Fundamental analysis involves evaluating a company's financial health, industry trends, and other relevant factors to determine its intrinsic value.
    • Trend Trader: The strategy also utilizes both technical analysis (TA) and fundamental analysis (FA). This means that it likely employs similar methods as the Swing Trader strategy in terms of analyzing price trends and company fundamentals.

Based on the provided returns, the Trend Trader strategy has outperformed the Swing Trader strategy, achieving a higher return on investment. However, it's important to note that this comparison is based solely on the given returns and does not take into account other factors such as risk management, trading costs, market conditions, or the time period over which the returns were generated. Therefore, further analysis would be required to fully evaluate the effectiveness and suitability of these trading strategies.

When delving into the robust pharmaceutical industry, one can't overlook the performances of prominent players Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) and Merck & Co. (MRK). Both these behemoths have made considerable strides in this highly competitive sector, showing distinctive trading styles and presenting opportunities for different types of traders.

Starting with a swing trading perspective, JNJ with a medium volatility rating of 3.04%, posted a weekly price growth of 1.70%. This outperformed the average weekly price growth of 1.11% across the entire Major Pharmaceuticals industry. With its relatively moderate fluctuations, JNJ represents an appealing choice for active traders who thrive on leveraging price swings over a short period. The company's imminent earnings report on July 20, 2023, is anticipated to offer further insights into its financial health and potential future trading volatility.

In contrast, trend traders might find MRK more fitting to their trading style. As a highly popular stock in the market with a 6.71% volatility rating, MRK exhibited a weekly price growth of 1.31%. Despite this figure being slightly below JNJ's growth, it still surpassed the industry's average. This growth, combined with the upward trajectory often favored by trend traders, paints a compelling picture for MRK. Investors and traders alike will be keenly awaiting MRK's earnings report due on August 01, 2023, as it may hint at future price trends.

Reflecting on the broader industry context, it is crucial to note that the average monthly price growth in the Major Pharmaceuticals industry was negative, at -0.41%. However, the industry rebounded with quarterly price growth of 1.37%. This recent uplift indicates a potential shift in momentum that could benefit both JNJ and MRK, suggesting the industry is on a recovery path.

A noteworthy aspect of the comparative analysis of these two giants is their correlation. JNJ and MRK show a loose correlation of 62%, indicating that while they often move in the same direction, their movements are not identical. This level of correlation offers diversification benefits to an investor's portfolio.

Both JNJ and MRK showcase intriguing prospects in their distinctive ways. Swing traders may find the medium volatility and consistent growth of JNJ attractive, while trend traders could be drawn to MRK's popularity and greater volatility. Given the signs of recovery in the Major Pharmaceuticals industry and upcoming earnings reports, both stocks warrant careful observation in the coming weeks.

Related Ticker: JNJ

Momentum Indicator for JNJ turns positive, indicating new upward trend

JNJ saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on August 20, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 82 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 82 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart
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Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Eli Lilly & Co (NYSE:LLY), Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ), Merck & Co (NYSE:MRK), ABBVIE (NYSE:ABBV), AstraZeneca PLC (NASDAQ:AZN), Pfizer (NYSE:PFE), Amgen (NASDAQ:AMGN), Bristol-Myers Squibb Co (NYSE:BMY), Gilead Sciences (NASDAQ:GILD), Biogen (NASDAQ:BIIB).

Industry description

The Major Pharmaceuticals industry includes companies that are involved in various processes of creating drugs to treat/prevent diseases. These companies engage in research, testing and manufacturing, as well as the distribution of pharmaceuticals into markets. Johnson & Johnson, Merck & Co., Inc., Pfizer Inc. and Novartis are among the largest companies in this category.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry is 86.34B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 72.83K to 739.66B. LLY holds the highest valuation in this group at 739.66B. The lowest valued company is CRXTQ at 72.83K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 7%. JCRRF experienced the highest price growth at 9%, while MIRA experienced the biggest fall at -24%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry was 5%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 16% and the average quarterly volume growth was -15%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 33
P/E Growth Rating: 61
Price Growth Rating: 78
SMR Rating: 63
Profit Risk Rating: 65
Seasonality Score: -36 (-100 ... +100)
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JNJ
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A.I.Advisor
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A.I. Advisor
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General Information

an investment holding company with interests in health care products

Industry PharmaceuticalsMajor

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Pharmaceuticals Major
Address
One Johnson and Johnson Plaza
Phone
+1 732 524-0400
Employees
131900
Web
https://www.jnj.com
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