T-Mobile gets a bullish signal after news that CEO won't be heading to WeWork
T-Mobile U.S. (Nasdaq: TMUS) has been in the news a lot lately. First it was the approval of its merger with Sprint that made the news and now it’s the fact that the CEO John Legere won't be leaving to assume the role as CEO of WeWork. While the company has gotten attention for these news stories, it got my attention on Friday because my own scans generated a bullish signal on the stock.
From a fundamental perspective, T-Mobile has been above average in some areas and just average in other areas. Earnings growth is one area where the company has been above average. The company has seen earnings grow by an average of 37% per year over the last three years and earnings increased by 51% in the third quarter. Analysts expect earnings for 2019 as a whole to increase by 28%.
Sales have grown as well, but not nearly as much as earnings. Sales were only up 2% in the third quarter and have averaged growth of 7% per year over the last three years. The management efficiency ratings are slightly below average with a return on equity of 11.3% and a profit margin of 8.2%.
Looking at the Tickeron Fundamental Analysis Overview we see that the Profit vs. Risk Rating for the company is 6, indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock much better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating is also well above average with a reading of 18, pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents. A rating of 1 indicates highest PE growth while a rating of 100 indicates lowest PE growth.
Because of the below average management efficiency readings, the Tickeron SMR rating is average at 47, indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
Turning our attention to the chart, we see that the stock has been trending higher over the last year with a trend channel defining the different cycles within the overall trend for the last 10 months.
The stock has jumped above the upper rail on a few occasions, but with the various news stories, that isn't all that surprising.
One indicator that has been pretty reliable has been the stochastic readings. When they have dropped below the 30 level and then made a bullish crossover, the stock has rallied every time. The extent of the rallies has varied some though.
Another indicator that has been reliable in the past is the Bollinger Bands. T-Mobile dropped below its lower Bollinger Band on November 14 and according to Tickeron the stock has rallied in 31 of 35 cases where the price broke its lower Bollinger Band. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 89%.
Looking at the sentiment toward T-Mobile, there are 19 analysts covering the stock with 14 "buy" ratings and five "hold" ratings. This puts the buy percentage at 73.7% and that is in the average range.
The short interest ratio is at 4.19 and has bounced around quite a bit in the last six months. The current reading is above average compared to other stocks, but the ratio has been as high as 6.93 in the last few months and as low as 1.06. The wide range in the ratio has been affected mostly by the average daily trading volume and not by the number of shares sold short.
TMUS's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for TMUS entered a downward trend on January 08, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 139 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 139 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
TMUS moved below its 50-day moving average on December 16, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TMUS crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on December 19, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TMUS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TMUS's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 19 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 57 cases where TMUS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TMUS advanced for three days, in of 359 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TMUS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TMUS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.983) is normal, around the industry mean (4.748). P/E Ratio (23.473) is within average values for comparable stocks, (113.894). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.824) is also within normal values, averaging (8.093). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.059) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.486) is also within normal values, averaging (13.542).
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General Information
a provider of wireless voice, messaging and data services
Industry WirelessTelecommunications