T-Mobile U.S. (Nasdaq: TMUS) has been in the news a lot lately. First it was the approval of its merger with Sprint that made the news and now it’s the fact that the CEO John Legere won't be leaving to assume the role as CEO of WeWork. While the company has gotten attention for these news stories, it got my attention on Friday because my own scans generated a bullish signal on the stock.
From a fundamental perspective, T-Mobile has been above average in some areas and just average in other areas. Earnings growth is one area where the company has been above average. The company has seen earnings grow by an average of 37% per year over the last three years and earnings increased by 51% in the third quarter. Analysts expect earnings for 2019 as a whole to increase by 28%.
Sales have grown as well, but not nearly as much as earnings. Sales were only up 2% in the third quarter and have averaged growth of 7% per year over the last three years. The management efficiency ratings are slightly below average with a return on equity of 11.3% and a profit margin of 8.2%.
Looking at the Tickeron Fundamental Analysis Overview we see that the Profit vs. Risk Rating for the company is 6, indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock much better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating is also well above average with a reading of 18, pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents. A rating of 1 indicates highest PE growth while a rating of 100 indicates lowest PE growth.
Because of the below average management efficiency readings, the Tickeron SMR rating is average at 47, indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
Turning our attention to the chart, we see that the stock has been trending higher over the last year with a trend channel defining the different cycles within the overall trend for the last 10 months.
The stock has jumped above the upper rail on a few occasions, but with the various news stories, that isn't all that surprising.
One indicator that has been pretty reliable has been the stochastic readings. When they have dropped below the 30 level and then made a bullish crossover, the stock has rallied every time. The extent of the rallies has varied some though.
Another indicator that has been reliable in the past is the Bollinger Bands. T-Mobile dropped below its lower Bollinger Band on November 14 and according to Tickeron the stock has rallied in 31 of 35 cases where the price broke its lower Bollinger Band. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 89%.
Looking at the sentiment toward T-Mobile, there are 19 analysts covering the stock with 14 "buy" ratings and five "hold" ratings. This puts the buy percentage at 73.7% and that is in the average range.
The short interest ratio is at 4.19 and has bounced around quite a bit in the last six months. The current reading is above average compared to other stocks, but the ratio has been as high as 6.93 in the last few months and as low as 1.06. The wide range in the ratio has been affected mostly by the average daily trading volume and not by the number of shares sold short.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TMUS turned positive on February 22, 2024. Looking at past instances where TMUS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 54 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on February 20, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TMUS as a result. In of 98 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TMUS moved above its 50-day moving average on February 20, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TMUS advanced for three days, in of 354 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TMUS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
TMUS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 23, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for TMUS entered a downward trend on February 20, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TMUS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.995) is normal, around the industry mean (5.300). P/E Ratio (23.564) is within average values for comparable stocks, (107.811). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.827) is also within normal values, averaging (9.639). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.085) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.495) is also within normal values, averaging (71.084).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a provider of wireless voice, messaging and data services
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TMUS has been loosely correlated with TEO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 39% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TMUS jumps, then TEO could also see price increases.