Target (TGT, $226.71) beats fiscal Q4 earnings expectations
Target posted its fiscal fourth quarter earnings that crushed analysts’ expectations.
The big box retailer’s adjusted earnings came in at $3.19 per share, surpassing $2.86 expected by analysts polled by Refinitiv.
Revenue for the quarter was $31 billion, vs. $31.39 billion expected.
Comparable sales, the metric that measures sales online and at stores open at least a year, rose +8.9% in the fourth quarter. That’s lower than the 10.5% expected by analysts, according to StreetAccount.
In fiscal 2023 and beyond, Target projects annual revenue growth in the mid single digits and adjusted earnings per share in the high single digits. The company plans to spend $4 billion to $5 billion on capital expenditures each year.
Aroon Indicator for TGT shows an upward move is likely
TGT's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on July 14, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 247 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 247 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TGT just turned positive on June 24, 2025. Looking at past instances where TGT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TGT moved above its 50-day moving average on June 23, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TGT advanced for three days, in of 311 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TGT moved out of overbought territory on July 03, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 33 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 33 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 56 cases where TGT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 16, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TGT as a result. In of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TGT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
TGT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 01, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.151) is normal, around the industry mean (8.317). P/E Ratio (11.390) is within average values for comparable stocks, (32.590). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.475) is also within normal values, averaging (2.910). Dividend Yield (0.043) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.450) is also within normal values, averaging (1.549).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TGT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TGT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 59, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a department and discount store
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