Target (TGT, $226.71) beats fiscal Q4 earnings expectations
Target posted its fiscal fourth quarter earnings that crushed analysts’ expectations.
The big box retailer’s adjusted earnings came in at $3.19 per share, surpassing $2.86 expected by analysts polled by Refinitiv.
Revenue for the quarter was $31 billion, vs. $31.39 billion expected.
Comparable sales, the metric that measures sales online and at stores open at least a year, rose +8.9% in the fourth quarter. That’s lower than the 10.5% expected by analysts, according to StreetAccount.
In fiscal 2023 and beyond, Target projects annual revenue growth in the mid single digits and adjusted earnings per share in the high single digits. The company plans to spend $4 billion to $5 billion on capital expenditures each year.
TGT sees its 50-day moving average cross bearishly below its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for TGT moved below the 200-day moving average on May 18, 2023. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 19, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TGT as a result. In of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TGT turned negative on May 22, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 39 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
TGT moved below its 50-day moving average on May 18, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TGT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for TGT entered a downward trend on May 26, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TGT advanced for three days, in of 337 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TGT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.525) is normal, around the industry mean (56.852). P/E Ratio (23.641) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.789). TGT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.747) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.952). Dividend Yield (0.031) settles around the average of (0.034) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.589) is also within normal values, averaging (1.153).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 59, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TGT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
