Target (TGT, $72.67) beats fiscal Q4 earnings & revenue expectations on solid same-store sales growth
Target Corp. reported higher-than-expected earnings for the fourth quarter, on the back of strong same-store sales growth and a successful holiday season.
The retail giant’s earnings-per-share for the three months ending on February 2 increased +11.7% year-over-year to $1.53, beating analysts’ estimates by a penny (based on The Street consensus forecast). Group sales of $22.977 billion for the quarter was higher compared to analysts’ expected $22.91 billion. Growth in same-store sales came in at +5.3%, exceeding analysts’ estimates of +5%.
Earlier this year, Target had indicated that it experienced the best holiday sales since 2005. Same store sales for the two months ending in December increased +5.7%, which was a faster pace compared to 3.4% of the same period last year.
For the full year 2019, Target is forecasts earnings in the range of $5.75 to $6.05 per share, which is above the consensus estimate of $5.61 per share.
TGT in downward trend: price expected to drop as it breaks its higher Bollinger Band on June 24, 2026
TGT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 24, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 36 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TGT moved out of overbought territory on June 25, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 26 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 06, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TGT as a result. In of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TGT turned negative on July 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TGT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
TGT moved above its 50-day moving average on July 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TGT advanced for three days, in of 291 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 211 cases where TGT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. TGT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.668) is normal, around the industry mean (7.470). P/E Ratio (17.493) is within average values for comparable stocks, (37.468). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.459) is also within normal values, averaging (2.781). TGT has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.034) as compared to the industry average of (0.015). TGT's P/S Ratio (0.567) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.006).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TGT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 63, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a department and discount store
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