Target ($TGT) Faces a Sharp 7.18% Decline: Unpacking the Weekly Drop
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📉 Target (TGT) Takes a Dive: Analyzing the Week's Top Loser 📉
Intro: A surprising turn of events in the Discount Stores Industry this week! Target (TGT, $121.79) witnessed a steep decline of -7.18%, ranking it among the week's top losers. But what's behind this drop, and how does the broader industry look? Let's dive in!
Weekly Recap: 📊 From the 16 stocks scrutinized in the Discount Stores Industry between 8/18/2023 and 8/25/2023, a concerning 88.89% (14 stocks) trended downwards, with only 11.11% (2 stocks) showing an uptrend.
Earnings and Dividends: 💹 Target's earnings report on August 16th painted a rosy picture, with earnings per share at $1.80, surpassing the expected $1.47. Yet, with its massive 7.28M shares, its market cap stands robust at $56.22B. 💰 Dividend-watchers, take note! A dividend of $1.10 per share has been announced, set to be paid on the record date of September 10, 2023. This comes on the heels of the previous dividend of $1.08 paid in June.
Industry Titans: 🏢 When talking discount giants, names like Walmart (WMT), Costco (COST), Dollar General (DG), Dollar Tree (DLTR), and Big Lots (BIG) stand tall. These companies have redefined value shopping, offering a diverse range of products at pocket-friendly prices.
Industry Snapshot: Discount stores have carved a niche by offering massive discounts on a wide array of retail products. Catering mainly to price-sensitive consumers and low-income households, these businesses thrive on competitive pricing, optimal locations, and effective marketing. They often shine during financial downturns, as shoppers hunt for bargains.
Market Cap Dynamics: 📈 The average market capitalization across the Discount Stores Industry hovers around $61.86B. Walmart (WMT) takes the crown with a staggering $424.98B, whereas TUEMQ settles as the underdog at $1.78K.
Pricing and Volume: 📉 The industry saw an average weekly price decline of -3%. Monthly and quarterly changes were -5% and 3%, respectively. BMRPF led the growth chart at 5%, while BIG took the hardest hit at -16%. 🔊 In terms of volume, the weekly average across all stocks dropped by -6%. However, monthly and quarterly volume surged by 24% and 16% respectively.
Analyzing the Fundamentals: For those into the nitty-gritty:
- Valuation Rating: 45
- P/E Growth Rating: 51
- Price Growth Rating: 51
- SMR Rating: 40
- Profit Risk Rating: 44
- Seasonality Score: -10 (Scale: -100 to +100)
Closing Thoughts: Despite its recent setback, Target's strong fundamentals and dividend announcement provide some solace to its investors. As with all investments, maintaining a diversified portfolio and monitoring industry trends can offer insights and mitigate risks.
Momentum Indicator for TGT turns positive, indicating new upward trend
TGT saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on June 30, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 80 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 80 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TGT just turned positive on June 24, 2025. Looking at past instances where TGT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TGT moved above its 50-day moving average on June 23, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TGT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on June 09, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TGT advanced for three days, in of 311 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 251 cases where TGT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TGT moved out of overbought territory on July 03, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TGT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
TGT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 01, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.169) is normal, around the industry mean (8.281). P/E Ratio (11.455) is within average values for comparable stocks, (32.161). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.489) is also within normal values, averaging (2.914). Dividend Yield (0.043) settles around the average of (0.024) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.453) is also within normal values, averaging (1.556).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TGT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TGT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a department and discount store
Industry DiscountStores
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