Teck Resources retests lower rail of channel and gets bullish signal at the same time
I wrote about Teck Resources (NYSE: TECK) just a few weeks ago on February 19. The mining company had hit the lower rail of an upward sloped trend channel and the Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool had just generated a bullish signal on the stock.
The stock had closed at $22 when I wrote that article and it proceeded to jump up to a high of $23.83 on February 25. That is a jump of 8.7% in just a few trading days.
Now the stock has hit the lower rail of that trend channel once again and the AI Prediction tool has generated another bullish signal. We see on the chart how the stock bounced and then pulled back down. The blue arrow denotes when I wrote the first article.
The bullish signal from the prediction tool came on March 5 and it had a confidence level of 68%. The previous predictions have been accurate 77% of the time and it calls for a gain of at least 4% over the next month.
I mentioned the fundamentals in my previous article and how they were kind of muddled. To give you a better idea, Investor’s Business Daily gives Teck Resources an EPS rating of 53 and an SMR rating of a B. This means it is average when it comes to earnings growth and slightly above average in terms of sales growth, return on equity, and profit margin.
Earnings declined by 26% in the most recent quarter while sales only grew by 3%. The company does have a profit margin of 33.1% and that is well above average.
TECK sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for TECK moved above the 200-day moving average on March 27, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 58 cases where TECK's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 25, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TECK as a result. In of 92 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TECK advanced for three days, in of 306 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 249 cases where TECK Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TECK moved out of overbought territory on April 11, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 34 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TECK turned negative on April 16, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TECK declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
TECK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 03, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TECK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.200) is normal, around the industry mean (8.818). P/E Ratio (13.471) is within average values for comparable stocks, (93.616). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.742) is also within normal values, averaging (3.023). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.083) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.187) is also within normal values, averaging (243.777).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a company that engages in mining and mineral development of copper, coal & zinc
Industry OtherMetalsMinerals