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Vitalii Liubimov's Avatar
published in Blogs
May 07, 2019

Teladoc Health trending lower and the fundamentals are poor

Teladoc Health (NYSE: TDOC) is somewhat of a hybrid company, caught between technology and healthcare. The company is considered a software company, but it provides on-demand healthcare services—an interesting mix of attributes. Regardless of what the company does, the stock has been in a downward trend for the last seven months. 

The decline started last October and it saw the stock drop from over $85 a share to $42.50 in December. The stock rallied back in January and February, but then turned lower again in March. If we connect the high closing prices from September and February we get a downward sloped trend line and the stock has rallied up to that line in recent weeks. 

In addition to the trend line, we see that the stock is struggling to move back above its 50-day moving average. It moved above it on May 1, but it couldn’t maintain the momentum in to the close. We also see that the daily stochastic readings are in overbought territory and made a bearish crossover on May 1. 

Teladoc’s fundamentals are below average, at least in terms of its earnings growth and management efficiency measurements. The company saw earnings decline by 10% in its fourth quarter report and earnings have been flat over the last three years. The company is set to report again on May 6. 

Because the company has been losing money, the return on equity is currently -12.35% and the profit margin is -23.2%.

The Tickeron AI Prediction tool generated a bearish signal on Teladoc on April 30 and that signal calls for a decline of at least 4% over the next month. The signal showed a confidence level of 66% while previous predictions for the stock have been successful 64% of the time. 

Related Ticker: TDOC

TDOC's Stochastic Oscillator is remaining in oversold zone for 17 days

The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TDOC advanced for three days, in of 295 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

TDOC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TDOC turned negative on May 23, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TDOC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for TDOC entered a downward trend on June 14, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.066) is normal, around the industry mean (30.421). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (157.675). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.738). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.082) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.939) is also within normal values, averaging (56.972).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. TDOC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TDOC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Shopify (NYSE:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 10.47B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 3.15T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.15T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 0%, and the average quarterly price growth was 15%. LGIQ experienced the highest price growth at 93%, while WBSR experienced the biggest fall at -71%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -29%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -9% and the average quarterly volume growth was -57%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 74
Price Growth Rating: 61
SMR Rating: 83
Profit Risk Rating: 89
Seasonality Score: 9 (-100 ... +100)
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TDOCDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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Industry PackagedSoftware

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Hospital Or Nursing Management
Address
2 Manhattanville Road
Phone
+1 203 635-2002
Employees
5600
Web
https://www.teladochealth.com
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