Tesla in a clear downtrend ahead of earnings

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TSLA as a result. In 64 of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

TSLA moved above its 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for TSLA crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 7 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 47%.

Following a +6.95% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSLA advanced for three days, in 264 of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 188 of 237 cases where TSLA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 79%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TSLA turned negative on September 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 38 of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 84%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSLA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.

TSLA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TSLA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 72 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TSLA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 84 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 99 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (16.260) is normal, around the industry mean (8.703). P/E Ratio (330.972) is within average values for comparable stocks, (493.775). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.273) is also within normal values, averaging (2.450). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.017) among similar stocks. TSLA's P/S Ratio (12.225) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.589).