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Tesla Inc. (TSLA) has been on a tear recently, to the detriment of short sellers. As of June 14, 2023, Tesla’s Aroon Indicator signaled a bullish trajectory, leading many to predict that the electric vehicle giant’s stock price is likely to continue its upward trend. If the projections hold, Tesla short sellers, who have bet against the company's stock, stand to lose billions.
The Aroon Indicator Gives a Bullish Signal
Named after the Sanskrit word for 'dawn's early light,' the Aroon Indicator, developed by Tushar Chande in 1995, is used by traders to predict if a particular security is trending, and how strong that trend is. The bullish signal from the Aroon Indicator for Tesla indicates the likelihood of the stock's upward move.
On June 14, 2023, the Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that Tesla's AroonUp (green line) was above 70, and the AroonDown (red line) was below 30. This specific pattern often signifies a bullish setup, suggesting that traders might want to consider buying the stock or purchasing call options.
In past instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern for Tesla, the stock generally moved higher in the following days. According to the A.I.dvisor, the stock moved upwards in 268 out of 295 similar occurrences, giving the bullish signal an impressive success rate of 90%.
The Implications for Short Sellers
This anticipated upward trajectory is not good news for Tesla's short sellers. Short selling is an investment strategy where investors borrow shares of a stock to sell them with the hope of buying them back at a lower price later. If Tesla's stock price continues to rise, these short sellers could stand to lose significant amounts of money.
In recent years, Tesla's stock has been a popular target for short sellers, who have questioned the company's high valuation compared to traditional automakers, as well as potential profitability and production issues. But as Tesla continues to defy these skeptics with its stock price performance, these short sellers find themselves in an increasingly precarious position.
The latest bullish signal from the Aroon Indicator adds to a series of positive developments for Tesla, as the company continues to surge ahead in the electric vehicle market. This reinforces the idea that betting against innovative companies such as Tesla can be a high-risk proposition.
However, short sellers have been known to weather through turbulent times, and they might hold their positions with the hope that the tide will eventually turn in their favor. Yet, given the strong indicators for Tesla's stock price rise, they might find themselves under more pressure than ever to reevaluate their positions. As the electric vehicle market continues to expand, Tesla's short sellers could potentially find themselves in a deepening hole, if the stock's winning streak continues.
TSLA saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on September 11, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 81 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 81 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TSLA just turned positive on September 05, 2025. Looking at past instances where TSLA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TSLA moved above its 50-day moving average on August 22, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TSLA crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 12, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSLA advanced for three days, in of 336 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 278 cases where TSLA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSLA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
TSLA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 11, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. TSLA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (16.529) is normal, around the industry mean (4.119). P/E Ratio (235.679) is within average values for comparable stocks, (268.807). TSLA's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (7.049) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.850). TSLA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.045). P/S Ratio (15.015) is also within normal values, averaging (36.132).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a manufacturer of electric sports cars
Industry MotorVehicles