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Oct 20, 2022
Tesla (TSLA, $222.04) Q3 revenue misses expectations

Tesla (TSLA, $222.04) Q3 revenue misses expectations

Tesla  shares plunged on Thursday, after the electric carmaker's s third quarter sales came in lower than analysts’ expectations. The company also cautioned that its full-year vehicle deliveries may be lower than its 50% growth target.

Revenues climbed +56% from the year-ago quarter to $21.45 billion, shy of analysts' expectations of $21.96 billion.  

Tesla’s adjusted earnings for the quarter rose +70% year-over-year to $1.05 per share, beating the Street expectations by 5 cents.

“As we look ahead, our plans show that we're on track for the 50% annual growth in production this year, although we are tracking supply chain risks which are beyond our control," CFO Zachary Kirkhorn said.

"On the delivery side, we do expect to be just under 50% growth due to an increase in the cars in transit at the end of the year, as noted, just above," Kirkhorn added. "This means that, again, you should expect a gap between production and deliveries in Q4, and those cars in transit will be delivered shortly to their customers upon arrival to their destination in Q1."

Related Ticker: TSLA

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


TSLA's RSI Indicator ascending out of oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for TSLA moved out of oversold territory on August 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 27 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 27 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TSLA just turned positive on August 07, 2026. Looking at past instances where TSLA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSLA advanced for three days, in of 338 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 254 cases where TSLA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 62 cases where TSLA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TSLA as a result. In of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

TSLA moved below its 50-day moving average on September 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSLA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

TSLA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TSLA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TSLA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (16.103) is normal, around the industry mean (8.882). P/E Ratio (327.852) is within average values for comparable stocks, (579.688). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.233) is also within normal values, averaging (3.056). TSLA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.037). P/S Ratio (12.092) is also within normal values, averaging (3.611).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), General Motors Company (NYSE:GM), Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F), NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO).

Industry description

Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Motor Vehicles Industry is 70.48B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.72K to 1.4T. TSLA holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.4T. The lowest valued company is ZAPPF at 3.72K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -5%, and the average quarterly price growth was -20%. FLYE experienced the highest price growth at 23%, while PSNY experienced the biggest fall at -28%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was 12%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 20% and the average quarterly volume growth was 112%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 60
Price Growth Rating: 68
SMR Rating: 89
Profit Risk Rating: 91
Seasonality Score: -31 (-100 ... +100)
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a manufacturer of electric sports cars

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