GET DAILY SIGNALSTesla (TSLA, $390.92) "Battery Day" less than satisfactory; shares plunge -$20 billion in 2 hours
Tesla much-hyped “Battery Day” set lofty targets but left much to be desired on near-term execution.
The electric carmaker’s market cap dropped $20 billion in just two hours after trading closed Tuesday, as Musk and other Tesla executives virtually and in person rolled out their new battery plans. While some analysts praised Tesla’s impressive technology for making proprietary Tesla batteries that could make electric cars competitive with mass market, petroleum-fueled cars, its capacity and cost targets, others were skeptical about Musk’s promises and questioned the three-year timeline he outlined for delivering the promised technology breakthroughs. Musk admitted that some of Tesla’s technology plans is proving “insanely difficult” to produce at high volume.
Investors were expecting Musk to announce the development of a “million mile” battery good for 10 years or more, and a specific cost-reduction target that would drop the price of an electric vehicle below that of a gasoline car. However, they were disappointed as neither of those two announcements were made. Instead, Musk promised a $25,000 car three years down the line that would “basically be on par” with a gasoline car.
According to Tickeron,
TSLA in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on September 08, 2020
TSLA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 32 of 38 cases where TSLA's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
Current price $391.96 is above $377.42 the highest support line found by A.I. Throughout the month of 08/20/20 - 09/22/20, the price experienced a +6% Uptrend, while the week of 09/15/20 - 09/22/20 shows a -6% Downtrend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 18, 2020. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TSLA as a result. In 51 of 68 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Following a +6.13% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSLA advanced for three days, in 233 of 306 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 230 of 288 cases where TSLA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 80%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TSLA moved out of overbought territory on September 02, 2020. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 24 of the 40 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 60%.
The Stochastic Indicator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TSLA turned negative on September 04, 2020. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 28 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 64%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where Apple declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 79%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.3 to 1.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating risk-aware approach on strong performance. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TSLA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 99 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: TSLA's P/B Ratio (40.03) is slightly higher than the industry average of (-0.70). TSLA's P/E Ratio (1103.90) is considerably higher than the industry average of (201.16). TSLA's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.64) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.40). Dividend Yield (0.00) settles around the average of (1.77) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.69) is also within normal values, averaging (35635.43)
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
Momentum Indicator for TSLA turns positive, indicating new upward trend
TSLA saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 26, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 86 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 69 of the 86 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 80%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TSLA just turned positive on October 26, 2026. Looking at past instances where TSLA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
TSLA moved above its 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +9.47% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSLA advanced for three days, in 255 of 325 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 196 of 246 cases where TSLA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 80%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSLA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
TSLA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 27, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 17 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TSLA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 68 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TSLA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 84 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 100 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: TSLA's P/B Ratio (18.180) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.963). TSLA's P/E Ratio (338.822) is considerably higher than the industry average of (14.611). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.273) is also within normal values, averaging (2.450). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.143) among similar stocks. TSLA's P/S Ratio (12.225) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.648).
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a manufacturer of electric sports cars
Industry MotorVehicles
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