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Sep 18, 2020
Tesla (TSLA, $445.69) gets price target boost from Piper Sandler analyst

Tesla (TSLA, $445.69) gets price target boost from Piper Sandler analyst

Electric carmaker Tesla’s shares got a price target hike from Piper Sandler analyst Alex Potter.

Citing Tesla’s  Energy segment and  Elon Musk's compensation as “two poorly-understood aspects of Tesla's business” , Potter  has raised his price target on Tesla stock from $480 per share to $515 per share while reiterating an overweight rating on the shares.

According to Potter, Tesla Energy is a topic "everyone tries to avoid" due to the lack of inclusion of the business line in many analysts' estimates. However, Piper Sandler feels that the business has significant growth potential and offers upside to Tesla's valuation. "We now expect Tesla Energy to eventually exceed $200B/yr in revenue, with TSLA controlling over 1/3 of the market for stationary batteries. We anticipate sharply higher demand for these products, particularly in the late 2020s and 2030s, as renewable energy grows toward 40% of electricity generation," says Potter.

 On Musk's compensation plan, said,"[Whenever] performance-based milestones are crossed, triggering another tranche of vested options, TSLA shareholders must endure sudden up-ticks in stock-based comp (SBC). This line item will be particularly burdensome in the next few quarters, with Tesla expected to book stock-based compensation of $1B+ in 2H20. SBC is a non-cash expense, but it does impact GAAP earnings, which is the preferred metric for inclusion in the S&P500." Nevertheless, Potter notes that the maximum compensation from the plan has been fixed since the time it was established. He points out that the “total expense associated with Musk's plan is known (~$2.3B), so the main question regards the timing of these expenses."

Tickeron's analysis shows: 

TSLA's RSI Indicator leaves overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Indicator for TSLA moved out of overbought territory on September 02, 2020. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 30 of the 40 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 75%.

Current price $445.69 is above $377.42 the highest support line found by A.I. Throughout the month of 08/17/20 - 09/17/20, the price experienced a +15% Uptrend. During the week of 09/10/20 - 09/17/20, the stock enjoyed a +14% Uptrend growth.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Indicator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 08, 2020. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TSLA as a result. In 45 of 66 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TSLA turned negative on September 04, 2020. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 33 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 75%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where Apple declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a +20.67% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSLA advanced for three days, in 230 of 303 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.

TSLA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 242 of 288 cases where TSLA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 84%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 78%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.22 to 1.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 99 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: TSLA's P/B Ratio (39.96) is slightly higher than the industry average of (-0.87). TSLA's P/E Ratio (1101.82) is considerably higher than the industry average of (201.85). TSLA's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.64) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.40). Dividend Yield (0.00) settles around the average of (1.77) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.69) is also within normal values, averaging (35635.43).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TSLA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

 

 

Related Ticker: TSLA

TSLA in +2.19% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on June 22, 2026

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where TSLA advanced for three days, in of 339 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

TSLA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 23, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TSLA as a result. In of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TSLA turned negative on June 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

TSLA moved below its 50-day moving average on June 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for TSLA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 18, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSLA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for TSLA entered a downward trend on June 26, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TSLA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TSLA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (18.083) is normal, around the industry mean (9.340). P/E Ratio (371.605) is within average values for comparable stocks, (582.359). TSLA's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (5.786) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.891). TSLA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.038). P/S Ratio (14.620) is also within normal values, averaging (13.011).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), General Motors Company (NYSE:GM), Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F), NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO).

Industry description

Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Motor Vehicles Industry is 62.69B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.72K to 1.43T. TSLA holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.43T. The lowest valued company is ZAPPF at 3.72K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -13%, and the average quarterly price growth was -20%. AIIO experienced the highest price growth at 47%, while DCX experienced the biggest fall at -51%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was -3%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -6% and the average quarterly volume growth was 61%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 57
P/E Growth Rating: 60
Price Growth Rating: 66
SMR Rating: 93
Profit Risk Rating: 93
Seasonality Score: 19 (-100 ... +100)
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a manufacturer of electric sports cars

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