Tesla (TSLA, $852.03) gets bullish boost from Morgan Stanley
Analysts at Morgan Stanley boosted their bullish case on Tesla.
Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas set a $1,200 price target on the electric carmaker’s stock in a bullish scenario, compared to the firm’s previous target of $650 a share. The new price target represents about 50% upside from the company’s closing price on Friday.
Jonas also hiked the base case target on Tesla to $500 from $360. The base case represents nearly 38% decline from the stock’s current price.
The latest bull case reflects 4 million units of auto volume by 2030 with a 12% operating margin. According to Jonas, Tesla has the opportunity to supply powertrains, including batteries and electric motors, to other vehicle manufacturers.
The base case forecast includes 2.2 million units and a 10% operating margin margin by 2030,
However, Jonas warned that investors should expect a “very challenging” first quarter for Tesla. According to his projection, Tesla will deliver 89,000 vehicles in the quarter, which is lower than Wall Street’s consensus view of 99,000. Jonas also said that Tesla will report a quarterly loss of about $440 million.
TSLA in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on July 03, 2025
TSLA moved below its 50-day moving average on July 03, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 34 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The 10-day moving average for TSLA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on July 08, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSLA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on July 16, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TSLA as a result. In of 79 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TSLA just turned positive on July 16, 2025. Looking at past instances where TSLA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 50-day moving average for TSLA moved above the 200-day moving average on July 01, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSLA advanced for three days, in of 337 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TSLA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TSLA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.905) is normal, around the industry mean (6.217). P/E Ratio (40.726) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.826). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.067) is also within normal values, averaging (5.723). TSLA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.042). P/S Ratio (6.305) is also within normal values, averaging (79.562).
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General Information
a manufacturer of electric sports cars
Industry MotorVehicles
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