Tesla (TSLA, $935.28) shares downgraded by Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs analysts
Tesla shares was downgraded by Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs.
Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas lowered the rating on the electric carmaker’s stock to underweight from equal-weight. Jonas also slashed his price target to $650 from $680.
Although Jonas was optimistic on Tesla’s role in the adoption of electric vehicles, he also thought that the recent rise in the share price to over $1,000 may not capture some emerging risks. Many of these risks, according to Jonas, are long-term, and could potentially affect fundamentals (growth and profitability) in a “materially negative way." The analyst said, "Among the many risks facing Tesla at this time, we would rank risks related to U.S.-China relations at the very top”.
Goldman Sachs analysts downgraded Tesla to neutral , as shares were trading above their upwardly revised 12-month price target of $950. "We'd look to become more positive on Tesla stock again if we had more confidence in the near to intermediate term trajectory in fundamentals, or if valuation became more attractive," Goldman analyst Mark Delaney said.
TSLA's Aroon indicator reaches into Uptrend on June 12, 2020
For traders, this could mean going long on the ticker or exploring call options in the next month. In 210 of 270 cases where TSLA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 78%.
Current price $935.28 is above $835.10 the highest resistance line found by A.I. Throughout the month of 05/12/20 - 06/12/20, the price experienced a +16% Uptrend. During the week of 06/05/20 - 06/12/20, the stock enjoyed a +6% Uptrend growth.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on May 26, 2020. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 47 of 68 cases where the ticker's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 69%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) just turned positive. Considering data from situations where TSLA's MACD histogram became positive, in 32 of 44 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 73%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator appears to be shifting from an Uptrend to a Downtrend. In 27 of 39 cases where TSLA's RSI indicator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 69%.
The Stochastic Indicator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 10 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day Decline, the ticker is projected to fall further. Considering data from situations where TSLA declined for three days, in 198 of 280 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 71%.
The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 30 of 43 cases where TSLA's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 70%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 79%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.15 to 1.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TSLA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 96, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 91 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: TSLA's P/B Ratio (18.86) is slightly higher than the industry average of (4.68). P/E Ratio (0.00) is within average values for comparable stocks, (38.46). TSLA's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.00) is slightly lower than the industry average of (0.85). Dividend Yield (0.00) settles around the average of (2.02) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.01) is also within normal values, averaging (6.78).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
Aroon Indicator for TSLA shows an upward move is likely
TSLA's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on May 26, 2023. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 295 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 295 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 05, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TSLA as a result. In of 76 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TSLA just turned positive on May 05, 2023. Looking at past instances where TSLA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TSLA moved above its 50-day moving average on May 19, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TSLA crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 26, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSLA advanced for three days, in of 335 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSLA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
TSLA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 22, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TSLA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (12.739) is normal, around the industry mean (9.619). P/E Ratio (56.818) is within average values for comparable stocks, (95.958). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.136) is also within normal values, averaging (5.867). TSLA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.041). P/S Ratio (7.800) is also within normal values, averaging (72.200).
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