On Wednesday, all major indices ended the regular session in positive territory. The Dow gained over 400 points, while the S&P 500 rose by 1.19% and the Nasdaq Composite increased by 1.28%. Our robots started taking on more risk and getting rid of short positions yesterday, as a breakout in the upward channel and a small rally became possible.
Investor sentiment seems to have improved after Washington leaders announced progress in debt ceiling negotiations. Wall Street will also be monitoring the weekly jobless claims data to assess the strength of the labor market. The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey data for May, as well as existing home sales data for April, are also expected to be published on Thursday morning.
The ETF Technology Select Sector XLK ($154.39) presents significant opportunities to profit from practically all technology company stocks. The market has been stagnant for a while, and a new upward trend may be emerging.
On May 10, 2023, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XLK turned positive. Looking at historical instances where XLK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 40 out of 49 cases over the following month. This suggests that the odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
Furthermore, following a 3-day advance of +1.44%, the price of XLK is expected to continue growing. Analyzing data from situations where XLK advanced for three days, in 312 out of 345 cases, the price further increased within the following month. This indicates that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Additionally, the Aroon Indicator for XLK entered an uptrend today. In 395 out of 434 cases where XLK's Aroon Indicator entered an uptrend, the price continued to rise within the following month. Therefore, the odds of a continued uptrend are 90%.
The Aroon Indicator for XLK entered a downward trend on April 15, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 117 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 117 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 12, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XLK as a result. In of 67 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
XLK moved below its 50-day moving average on April 12, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for XLK crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 15, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLK declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for XLK's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLK advanced for three days, in of 356 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
XLK may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Category Technology