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Oct 05, 2018
The Indian Rupee Continues Plunge Against US Dollar

The Indian Rupee Continues Plunge Against US Dollar

The Indian currency continued to decline on Friday. At one point in the day, the rupee crossed  74 against the US dollar (for the first time ever), following the Indian central bank's stance to hold off  an interest rate hike  – a decision that went against the general expectation.

So far, the Indian rupee has plunged around -15% against the dollar this year. This happened even as the Indian government made efforts to ease foreign purchase of rupee bonds and also increased tariffs on imported goods.

Related Ticker: INDY

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


INDY in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026

INDY moved below its 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 38 of 44 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 08, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on INDY as a result. In 62 of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for INDY turned negative on August 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 33 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 70%.

The 10-day moving average for INDY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where INDY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.

The Aroon Indicator for INDY entered a downward trend on September 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where INDY's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 29 of 36 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 42 of 55 cases where INDY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.

INDY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Industry description

The investment seeks to track the investment results of the Nifty 50 IndexTM composed of 50 of the largest Indian equities. The underlying index measures the equity performance of the top 50 companies by free float market capitalization whose equity securities trade in the Indian securities markets. The fund generally will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of its underlying index and in investments that have economic characteristics that are substantially identical to the component securities of its underlying index. The fund is non-diversified.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the iShares India 50 ETF (INDY) ETF was -11%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was -12%, and the average quarterly price growth was -29%. USD experienced the highest price growth at 21%, while INR experienced the biggest fall at -12%.
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