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published in Blogs
Nov 01, 2018
The New York Times' (NYT, $26.40) Digital Performance Boosts Its Stock Prices

The New York Times' (NYT, $26.40) Digital Performance Boosts Its Stock Prices

The New York Times Company's shares had a record jump on news of solid growth in subscribers. The newspaper/media giant's stock price climbed by as much as +6.7% to $28.18 on Thursday, the biggest intra-day gain since Feb. 8.

It added 203,000 online subscribers in Q3 2018 - the biggest net gain in a quarter since the  Q4 2016 and Q1 of 2017 after the presidential election. As of the latest quarter, the Times has 3 million-plus total digital subscriptions. What's more, the company experienced a +7% increase in  advertising gains, on the back of a sharp +17% climb in digital advertising.

Total revenue rose  +8% in Q3 compared with the same quarter last year. Profit was 15 cents per share – beating analysts’ estimates of 11 cents.

Related Ticker: NYT

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


NYT's RSI Indicator ascending out of oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for NYT moved out of oversold territory on September 24, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 24 of the 34 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 71%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 31 of 51 cases where NYT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.

Following a +2.19% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NYT advanced for three days, in 212 of 334 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.

NYT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 145 of 237 cases where NYT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 61%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NYT as a result. In 50 of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NYT turned negative on September 23, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 29 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 57%.

NYT moved below its 50-day moving average on September 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NYT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. NYT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 66 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.056) is normal, around the industry mean (8.315). P/E Ratio (26.737) is within average values for comparable stocks, (20.593). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.840) is also within normal values, averaging (5.351). Dividend Yield (0.013) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. NYT's P/S Ratio (3.994) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.204).

Industry description

The newspaper publishing industry includes companies that publish and market news journals and daily/weekly newspapers. News Corporation, New York Times Company, and Gannett Co., Inc. are some of the largest newspaper publishers. Commercial ad revenue helps to cover plant and equipment costs and general and administrative expense. The popularity and distribution network of newspaper publishers could affect the fees they can charge on advertisements. In recent decades, with digital content grabbing advertising dollars, long-standing publishing companies have increasingly diversified into creating their own web-based content to stay in business.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Publishing: Newspapers Industry is 2.94B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.77K to 14.47B. IFPJF holds the highest valuation in this group at 14.47B. The lowest valued company is XLMDF at 3.77K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Publishing: Newspapers Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -10%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2%. TDAY experienced the highest price growth at 17%, while LEE experienced the biggest fall at -2%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Publishing: Newspapers Industry was -28%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -37% and the average quarterly volume growth was -49%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 46
P/E Growth Rating: 43
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 73
Profit Risk Rating: 84
Seasonality Score: 7 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a global, multimedia news and information company, which engages in publishing newspapers, digital businesses, investments in paper mills and other investments

Industry PublishingNewspapers

Industry
Publishing Newspapers
Address
620 Eighth Avenue
Phone
+1 212 556-1234
Employees
6000
Web
https://www.nytco.com
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