The World is Realizing How Much China Matters Now

When the SARS outbreak happened in 2003, China’s share of the global economy was about 10%. Today, however, China accounts for double that figure (20%) while also holding the title as world’s largest manufacturer. China’s burgeoning middle class also showers money around the world, with tourists spending approximately $260 billion a year.

These economic fundamentals place China and the global economy in a precarious position: one on hand, the economy benefits from sending people back to work and restarting factory operations. On the other, restarting the economic engine risks spreading the coronavirus even further and for longer.

To underscore just how important China’s economy has become on the global stage, consider that over the last five years, the three most material sell-offs in the S&P 500 index have had ties to China. There was the yuan devaluation in 2015, followed by downside volatility connected to the US-China trade dispute in fall 2018, followed by the selling pressure we’re seeing today connected to the coronavirus. Any good investment strategy, in my view, must account for China's significant influence on the global economy.

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk|Expert

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.

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