The World is Realizing How Much China Matters Now
When the SARS outbreak happened in 2003, China’s share of the global economy was about 10%. Today, however, China accounts for double that figure (20%) while also holding the title as world’s largest manufacturer. China’s burgeoning middle class also showers money around the world, with tourists spending approximately $260 billion a year.
These economic fundamentals place China and the global economy in a precarious position: one on hand, the economy benefits from sending people back to work and restarting factory operations. On the other, restarting the economic engine risks spreading the coronavirus even further and for longer.
To underscore just how important China’s economy has become on the global stage, consider that over the last five years, the three most material sell-offs in the S&P 500 index have had ties to China. There was the yuan devaluation in 2015, followed by downside volatility connected to the US-China trade dispute in fall 2018, followed by the selling pressure we’re seeing today connected to the coronavirus. Any good investment strategy, in my view, must account for China's significant influence on the global economy.
CHN in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on June 02, 2025
CHN moved above its 50-day moving average on June 02, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 30 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 03, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CHN as a result. In of 76 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CHN just turned positive on June 04, 2025. Looking at past instances where CHN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CHN advanced for three days, in of 281 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 162 cases where CHN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 7 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CHN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
CHN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 23, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
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