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published in Blogs
Mar 08, 2021

The World is Realizing How Much China Matters Now

When the SARS outbreak happened in 2003, China’s share of the global economy was about 10%. Today, however, China accounts for double that figure (20%) while also holding the title as world’s largest manufacturer. China’s burgeoning middle class also showers money around the world, with tourists spending approximately $260 billion a year.

These economic fundamentals place China and the global economy in a precarious position: one on hand, the economy benefits from sending people back to work and restarting factory operations. On the other, restarting the economic engine risks spreading the coronavirus even further and for longer.

To underscore just how important China’s economy has become on the global stage, consider that over the last five years, the three most material sell-offs in the S&P 500 index have had ties to China. There was the yuan devaluation in 2015, followed by downside volatility connected to the US-China trade dispute in fall 2018, followed by the selling pressure we’re seeing today connected to the coronavirus. Any good investment strategy, in my view, must account for China's significant influence on the global economy.

Related Ticker: CHN

CHN in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on February 29, 2024

CHN moved above its 50-day moving average on February 29, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 30 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 58 cases where CHN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 01, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CHN as a result. In of 71 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 10-day moving average for CHN crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on February 27, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CHN advanced for three days, in of 306 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 189 cases where CHN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CHN turned negative on March 22, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CHN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

CHN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 12, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Industry description

CHINA FUND INC is a non-diversified, closed-end management investment company. Its investment objective is a long-term capital appreciation which it seeks to achieve by investing in equity securities with trading in China and outside China. It invests in various industries such as Insurance, Entertainment, Machinery, Electrical Equipment, Beverages, Hotels, Restaurants and Leisure among others.
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