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Rick Pendergraft's Avatar
published in Blogs
Apr 05, 2019

Three Falling Peaks formation on Juniper Networks

Networking company Juniper Networks (NYSE: JNPR) has been falling since last November, but it is the three highs from December, January, and April 3 that got my attention. The three highs form a Three Falling Peaks formation, but they also connect perfectly in a downward sloped trend line.

The daily stochastic readings are in overbought territory and just made a bearish crossover on April 4. The indicators performed similar crossovers in November, January, and February.

The Tickeron AI Prediction tool generated a bearish signal on Juniper on April 3. The signal showed a confidence level of 65% and previous predictions have been successful 64% of the time. The signal calls for a decline of at least 4% over the next month.

The fundamentals for Juniper arenโ€™t terrible, but they are average. The company has seen earnings fall by an average of 4% per year over the last three years while sales fell at a rate of 1% per year. In the most recent earnings report, earnings were up by 11%, but sales were down by 5%. The company is expected to release earnings again on April 25, so you will want to keep an eye on that.

The management efficiency measurements are decent with a profit margin of 23.6%, but the return on equity is below average at 14%.

Related Ticker: JNPR

JNPR in -0.30% downward trend, sliding for three consecutive days on February 20, 2024

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where JNPR declined for three days, in of 285 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for JNPR moved out of overbought territory on February 26, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 24 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 24 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 64 cases where JNPR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for JNPR turned negative on January 26, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

JNPR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 29, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for JNPR entered a downward trend on February 29, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on February 29, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on JNPR as a result. In of 100 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JNPR advanced for three days, in of 307 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. JNPRโ€™s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.674) is normal, around the industry mean (8.673). P/E Ratio (38.979) is within average values for comparable stocks, (87.928). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.114) is also within normal values, averaging (1.731). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.041) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.169) is also within normal values, averaging (23.125).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Cisco Systems (NASDAQ:CSCO), Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company (NYSE:HPE), Nokia Corp (NYSE:NOK), Ericsson (NASDAQ:ERIC), Juniper Networks (NYSE:JNPR), Ciena Corp (NYSE:CIEN), Lumentum Holdings (NASDAQ:LITE), CommScope Holding Company (NASDAQ:COMM), Casa Systems (NASDAQ:CASA).

Industry description

The Telecommunications Equipment industry produces voice and data communications equipment, which includes fiber optic delivery products, digital signal processors, high-speed voice, data and video delivery. Additionally, satellite systems, global positioning systems, wireless data systems, personal communications equipment, telephone handsets and payload equipment for satellites also fall into this category. Apple Inc., QUALCOMM Incorporated and Nokia are major global players in this segment.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Telecommunications Equipment Industry is 4.17B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.59K to 195.86B. CSCO holds the highest valuation in this group at 195.86B. The lowest valued company is ABILF at 1.59K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Telecommunications Equipment Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9%. CASA experienced the highest price growth at 44%, while COMM experienced the biggest fall at -40%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Telecommunications Equipment Industry was 21%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 15% and the average quarterly volume growth was 47%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 64
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: 2 (-100 ... +100)
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JNPRDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of Internet infrastructure solutions for Internet service providers

Industry TelecommunicationsEquipment

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Computer Communications
Address
1133 Innovation Way
Phone
+1 408 745-2000
Employees
11144
Web
https://www.juniper.net
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JNPR and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, JNPR has been loosely correlated with HPE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 48% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if JNPR jumps, then HPE could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To JNPR
1D Price
Change %
JNPR100%
+0.54%
HPE - JNPR
48%
Loosely correlated
+2.49%
CIEN - JNPR
44%
Loosely correlated
+0.64%
CSCO - JNPR
40%
Loosely correlated
+0.65%
VIAV - JNPR
33%
Poorly correlated
+1.27%
INFN - JNPR
30%
Poorly correlated
-1.76%
More
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