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Nov 13, 2018
Three Falling Peaks on Teva Pharmaceuticals

Three Falling Peaks on Teva Pharmaceuticals

Teva Pharmaceuticals (NYSE: TEVA) has outperformed the vast majority of stocks over the past year. According to Investor Business Daily’s Relative Strength rating, Teva’s stock price has appreciated more than 94% of the stocks in its database over the past year. Unfortunately for shareholders, there is a pattern on the chart that suggests that the stock is ready to fall sharply in the coming month or so.

The pattern is known as a Three Falling Peaks pattern and it is highlighted with the three blue circles on the chart below. In this case, the three peaks have also formed the upper rail of a trend channel with the lows over the last three months connecting as well.

The stock dropped over 19% in three weeks from the August high to the September low and from the September high to the first October low. If the pattern plays out the same way and drops over 19% again, the stock would be under $19.50 this time around.

The fundamentals for Teva are also a factor as the company has lagged in its earnings and sales growth. The company gets a 22 on IBD’s EPS rating and that means that 78% of the companies in its database have experienced better earnings growth. The SMR rating for Teva is a D and that is below average as well.

Teva reported third-quarter earnings on November 2 and that report showed an earnings decline of 32% over last year and a sales drop of 19% from the same quarter of 2017.

Related Ticker: TEVA

Contributor

Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.


TEVA in +3.99% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on September 02, 2026

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where TEVA advanced for three days, in of 300 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 63 cases where TEVA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 10-day moving average for TEVA crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 271 cases where TEVA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for TEVA moved out of overbought territory on August 26, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 47 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 03, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TEVA as a result. In of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TEVA turned negative on August 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 39 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TEVA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TEVA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.464) is normal, around the industry mean (47.010). P/E Ratio (60.600) is within average values for comparable stocks, (93.888). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.670) is also within normal values, averaging (1.974). TEVA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.028). P/S Ratio (2.443) is also within normal values, averaging (177.089).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited (NYSE:TEVA), ZOETIS (NYSE:ZTS), Elanco Animal Health (NYSE:ELAN), BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:BCRX), Bausch Health Companies (NYSE:BHC), Tilray Brands Inc. (NASDAQ:TLRY), Canopy Growth Corp (NASDAQ:CGC), Aurora Cannabis (NASDAQ:ACB), Journey Medical Corp (NASDAQ:DERM).

Industry description

A generic drug contains the same chemical substance as a drug that was originally protected by patents. Generic drugs are generally sold at cheaper price points, compared to name-brand pharmaceuticals, after patents for the more expensive drugs lapse. The generic drug industry has created a major market, thanks to the lower pricing. According to the Center for Justice and Democracy at New York Law School, 80 percent of all drugs prescribed are generic, and generic drugs are chosen 94 percent of the time when they are available. But their manufacturers must be able to prove to the FDA that they can be effective substitutes for the original drugs. Some of the major generic drug makers include Zoetis, Inc., Allergan plc and Mylan N.V.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Pharmaceuticals: Generic Industry is 4.09B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.12K to 63.66B. AGN holds the highest valuation in this group at 63.66B. The lowest valued company is CANQF at 2.12K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Generic Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 0%, and the average quarterly price growth was 37%. GELS experienced the highest price growth at 62%, while BTAI experienced the biggest fall at -59%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Generic Industry was -12%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -36% and the average quarterly volume growth was 73%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 64
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 87
Profit Risk Rating: 82
Seasonality Score: -15 (-100 ... +100)
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a manufacturer of generic and proprietary branded pharmaceuticals and active pharmaceutical ingredients

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