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Nov 13, 2018
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Three Falling Peaks on Teva Pharmaceuticals

Three Falling Peaks on Teva Pharmaceuticals

Teva Pharmaceuticals (NYSE: TEVA) has outperformed the vast majority of stocks over the past year. According to Investor Business Daily’s Relative Strength rating, Teva’s stock price has appreciated more than 94% of the stocks in its database over the past year. Unfortunately for shareholders, there is a pattern on the chart that suggests that the stock is ready to fall sharply in the coming month or so.

The pattern is known as a Three Falling Peaks pattern and it is highlighted with the three blue circles on the chart below. In this case, the three peaks have also formed the upper rail of a trend channel with the lows over the last three months connecting as well.

The stock dropped over 19% in three weeks from the August high to the September low and from the September high to the first October low. If the pattern plays out the same way and drops over 19% again, the stock would be under $19.50 this time around.

The fundamentals for Teva are also a factor as the company has lagged in its earnings and sales growth. The company gets a 22 on IBD’s EPS rating and that means that 78% of the companies in its database have experienced better earnings growth. The SMR rating for Teva is a D and that is below average as well.

Teva reported third-quarter earnings on November 2 and that report showed an earnings decline of 32% over last year and a sales drop of 19% from the same quarter of 2017.

Related Ticker: TEVA

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Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.


Aroon Indicator for TEVA shows an upward move is likely

TEVA's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on October 20, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 282 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 227 of the 282 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 80%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a +5.30% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TEVA advanced for three days, in 227 of 298 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TEVA as a result. In 45 of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TEVA turned negative on October 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 25 of the 40 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 62%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TEVA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

TEVA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 7 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 7 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TEVA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 72 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 77 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.123) is normal, around the industry mean (8.029). P/E Ratio (65.645) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-0.853). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.980) is also within normal values, averaging (2.152). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.047) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.589) is also within normal values, averaging (178.797).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited (NYSE:TEVA), ZOETIS (NYSE:ZTS), Elanco Animal Health (NYSE:ELAN), Bausch Health Companies (NYSE:BHC), BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:BCRX), Tilray Brands Inc. (NASDAQ:TLRY), Canopy Growth Corp (NASDAQ:CGC), Aurora Cannabis (NASDAQ:ACB), Journey Medical Corp (NASDAQ:DERM).

Industry description

A generic drug contains the same chemical substance as a drug that was originally protected by patents. Generic drugs are generally sold at cheaper price points, compared to name-brand pharmaceuticals, after patents for the more expensive drugs lapse. The generic drug industry has created a major market, thanks to the lower pricing. According to the Center for Justice and Democracy at New York Law School, 80 percent of all drugs prescribed are generic, and generic drugs are chosen 94 percent of the time when they are available. But their manufacturers must be able to prove to the FDA that they can be effective substitutes for the original drugs. Some of the major generic drug makers include Zoetis, Inc., Allergan plc and Mylan N.V.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Pharmaceuticals: Generic Industry is 4.32B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.12K to 68.49B. MKGAF holds the highest valuation in this group at 68.49B. The lowest valued company is CANQF at 2.12K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Generic Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -7%, and the average quarterly price growth was 2%. BHC experienced the highest price growth at 26%, while UPC experienced the biggest fall at -49%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Generic Industry was 51%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 14% and the average quarterly volume growth was -18%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 43
P/E Growth Rating: 58
Price Growth Rating: 61
SMR Rating: 87
Profit Risk Rating: 83
Seasonality Score: 8 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of generic and proprietary branded pharmaceuticals and active pharmaceutical ingredients

Industry PharmaceuticalsGeneric

Industry
Pharmaceuticals Generic
Address
124 Dvora HaNevi’a Street
Phone
+972 39148213
Employees
33950
Web
https://www.tevapharm.com
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Three Falling Peaks on Teva Pharmaceuticals