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Nov 13, 2018
Three Falling Peaks on Teva Pharmaceuticals

Three Falling Peaks on Teva Pharmaceuticals

Teva Pharmaceuticals (NYSE: TEVA) has outperformed the vast majority of stocks over the past year. According to Investor Business Daily’s Relative Strength rating, Teva’s stock price has appreciated more than 94% of the stocks in its database over the past year. Unfortunately for shareholders, there is a pattern on the chart that suggests that the stock is ready to fall sharply in the coming month or so.

The pattern is known as a Three Falling Peaks pattern and it is highlighted with the three blue circles on the chart below. In this case, the three peaks have also formed the upper rail of a trend channel with the lows over the last three months connecting as well.

The stock dropped over 19% in three weeks from the August high to the September low and from the September high to the first October low. If the pattern plays out the same way and drops over 19% again, the stock would be under $19.50 this time around.

The fundamentals for Teva are also a factor as the company has lagged in its earnings and sales growth. The company gets a 22 on IBD’s EPS rating and that means that 78% of the companies in its database have experienced better earnings growth. The SMR rating for Teva is a D and that is below average as well.

Teva reported third-quarter earnings on November 2 and that report showed an earnings decline of 32% over last year and a sales drop of 19% from the same quarter of 2017.

Related Ticker: TEVA

TEVA in +5.53% Uptrend, rising for three consecutive days on July 06, 2026

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where TEVA advanced for three days, in of 303 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TEVA as a result. In of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TEVA turned negative on July 10, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 41 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

TEVA moved below its 50-day moving average on July 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for TEVA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 18, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TEVA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

TEVA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for TEVA entered a downward trend on June 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TEVA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.662) is normal, around the industry mean (46.335). P/E Ratio (24.590) is within average values for comparable stocks, (99.004). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.940) is also within normal values, averaging (1.679). TEVA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.036). P/S Ratio (2.219) is also within normal values, averaging (114.736).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited (NYSE:TEVA), ZOETIS (NYSE:ZTS), Elanco Animal Health (NYSE:ELAN), BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:BCRX), Bausch Health Companies (NYSE:BHC), Tilray Brands Inc. (NASDAQ:TLRY), Canopy Growth Corp (NASDAQ:CGC), Journey Medical Corp (NASDAQ:DERM), Aurora Cannabis (NASDAQ:ACB).

Industry description

A generic drug contains the same chemical substance as a drug that was originally protected by patents. Generic drugs are generally sold at cheaper price points, compared to name-brand pharmaceuticals, after patents for the more expensive drugs lapse. The generic drug industry has created a major market, thanks to the lower pricing. According to the Center for Justice and Democracy at New York Law School, 80 percent of all drugs prescribed are generic, and generic drugs are chosen 94 percent of the time when they are available. But their manufacturers must be able to prove to the FDA that they can be effective substitutes for the original drugs. Some of the major generic drug makers include Zoetis, Inc., Allergan plc and Mylan N.V.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Pharmaceuticals: Generic Industry is 4B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.12K to 63.66B. AGN holds the highest valuation in this group at 63.66B. The lowest valued company is CANQF at 2.12K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Generic Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 17%. TLPH experienced the highest price growth at 36%, while BTAI experienced the biggest fall at -41%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Generic Industry was 14%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -6% and the average quarterly volume growth was -44%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 66
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 87
Profit Risk Rating: 83
Seasonality Score: 5 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of generic and proprietary branded pharmaceuticals and active pharmaceutical ingredients

Industry PharmaceuticalsGeneric

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Pharmaceuticals Generic
Address
124 Dvora HaNevi’a Street
Phone
+972 39148213
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37851
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https://www.tevapharm.com
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