Three Rising Valleys Pattern on Broadcom Suggests the Stock Could Rally
The semiconductor sector has been hit particularly hard in the recent market decline, but Broadcom (Nasdaq: AVGO) has held up better than most. The stock did gap sharply lower back in July, but has been rallying since then.
The daily chart shows a particular bullish formation has formed in the last three months and that is a Three Rising Valley pattern. We see the three blue circles from the lows in late October, early December, and early January.
In two of the three instances where a valley was formed, we see that the stock was in oversold territory based on the stochastic readings. The recent oversold level just created a bullish crossover and that has been a pretty good sign for the stock in recent months.
Something could be helping Broadcom stand out above other chip companies are its fundamentals. The company has seen earnings grow at an annual rate of 36% per year over the last three years and they grew by 27% in the most recent quarterly report.
Sales have been growing as well. The annual rate of growth in the last three years is 47%, but they only grew by 12% in the most recent quarter.
The company’s management efficiency measures are particularly strong with a return on equity of 40% and a profit margin of 47.8%. Both of those measurements are well above average.
Momentum Indicator for AVGO turns positive, indicating new upward trend
AVGO saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on June 23, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 85 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 85 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AVGO just turned positive on June 26, 2025. Looking at past instances where AVGO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AVGO advanced for three days, in of 347 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 368 cases where AVGO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for AVGO moved out of overbought territory on July 01, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 64 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 64 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AVGO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
AVGO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 26, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. AVGO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (18.248) is normal, around the industry mean (9.346). P/E Ratio (98.504) is within average values for comparable stocks, (63.191). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.266) is also within normal values, averaging (2.338). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.020) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (22.831) is also within normal values, averaging (36.460).
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General Information
a manufacturer of digital and analog semiconductor products
Industry Semiconductors
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