Tickeron, a leading provider of trading solutions, recently unveiled its trading robot as part of the "Day Trader: Medium Volatility Stocks for Active Trading (TA&FA)" program. During its month-long operation, the trading robot showcased remarkable success, delivering a notable 7.20% return for CCL (Carnival Corporation & plc).
Technical Analysis Suggests a Potential Change in CCL's Trend: As traders assess their investment options, it is important to consider various technical indicators that provide insights into a stock's potential direction. One such indicator is the 10-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) Oscillator. On May 19, 2023, the 10-day RSI for CCL moved out of the overbought territory, indicating a possible shift from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Based on historical data analyzed by Tickeron's A.I.dvisor, which examined 31 instances of the indicator moving out of the overbought zone, it was observed that in 27 of the 31 cases, the stock subsequently moved lower in the following days. This statistical analysis suggests that there is an 87% probability of a downward move in CCL's stock price.
Implications for Traders: Considering the potential shift in CCL's trend, traders may want to evaluate their positions and consider appropriate strategies. Two options to consider in light of this analysis are selling the stock or buying put options.
Selling the stock: If traders currently hold CCL shares, based on the technical analysis, they may consider selling their positions to potentially benefit from a potential downward move in the stock price. This action aligns with the historical data indicating a higher likelihood of a decrease in price after the 10-day RSI moves out of the overbought zone.
Buying put options: Alternatively, traders could opt to purchase put options on CCL. Put options provide the right, but not the obligation, to sell the underlying stock at a predetermined price within a specified time frame. By buying put options, traders can potentially profit from a decline in CCL's stock price while limiting their downside risk.
Analyzing CCL's Earnings Results: Earnings reports play a crucial role in evaluating the financial health and performance of a company. CCL's most recent earnings report, released on March 27, showcased an earnings per share (EPS) of -55 cents, surpassing the estimated EPS of -60 cents. This positive surprise indicates that the company's financial performance exceeded market expectations.
Considering the number of shares outstanding, which stands at 30.31 million, CCL's current market capitalization is approximately $14.70 billion. Understanding the company's market capitalization provides traders with valuable insights into its size and relative value within the market.
Tickeron's trading robot demonstrated remarkable success during its month-long operation, delivering a notable 7.20% return for CCL. However, the technical analysis suggests a potential shift in CCL's trend, as indicated by the 10-day RSI Oscillator moving out of overbought territory. Traders should consider the historical data analyzed by Tickeron's A.I.dvisor, which indicates an 87% probability of a downward move in CCL's stock price.
CCL saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on September 20, 2023. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 39 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 05, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CCL as a result. In of 75 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CCL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for CCL entered a downward trend on September 26, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
CCL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CCL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.096) is normal, around the industry mean (20.866). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (55.101). CCL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.138). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.032) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.986) is also within normal values, averaging (27.811).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CCL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
an operator of luxury cruises ships
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CCL has been closely correlated with NCLH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CCL jumps, then NCLH could also see price increases.