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Jun 09, 2023

Tickeron's Robot Factory Yields 23.55% Returns for AFRM Trading in Recent Six-Month Period

The Swing Trader: Volatility Balanced Strategy v.2 (TA), has recently captured attention with its remarkable performance. Over the past six months, this robot has demonstrated its prowess by generating a significant 23.55% gain while trading AFRM, an indication of its potential to capitalize on market opportunities. Let's delve deeper into the analysis to understand the factors contributing to its success.

Positive Signal: AFRM's Upward Trend

One key element that supported the performance of the Swing Trader robot is the change in AFRM's price trend. On May 8, 2023, the stock moved above its 50-day moving average, signaling a shift from a downward trend to an upward trend. Historical data reveals that in 11 out of 12 similar instances in the past, the stock price continued to increase within the following month. This trend suggests a compelling 90% probability of a continued upward trajectory for AFRM, making it an attractive opportunity for traders and investors alike.

Earnings Report Highlights:

While technical indicators play a significant role in assessing a stock's potential, fundamental factors such as earnings reports also play a crucial role in shaping market sentiment. AFRM released its latest earnings report on May 9, providing valuable insights into the company's financial performance.

The earnings per share (EPS) for the reporting period stood at -68 cents, surpassing the estimated EPS of -92 cents. This positive earnings surprise suggests that AFRM performed better than market expectations, which can instill confidence among investors. It is worth noting that EPS figures are typically reported on a diluted basis, considering the effect of potential stock issuances, which allows for a more accurate assessment of a company's earnings power.

Market Capitalization and Share Outstanding:

In addition to earnings, market capitalization is an important metric that provides an overview of a company's overall value. Currently, AFRM has approximately 31.47 million shares outstanding, resulting in a market capitalization of 4.68 billion dollars. This figure reflects the total market worth of the company's outstanding shares and is an essential component for evaluating its financial standing.

The Swing Trader: Volatility Balanced Strategy v.2 (TA) robot has demonstrated remarkable performance, generating a gain of 23.55% while trading AFRM over the past six months. The upward trend observed in AFRM's stock price, following its move above the 50-day moving average, further supports the robot's positive performance. Additionally, AFRM's recent earnings report exceeded market expectations, indicating potential growth opportunities for the company.

Related Ticker: AFRM

AFRM sees its 50-day moving average cross bearishly below its 200-day moving average

The 50-day moving average for AFRM moved below the 200-day moving average on June 11, 2024. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AFRM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

AFRM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 11, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for AFRM entered a downward trend on June 07, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 24, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AFRM as a result. In of 56 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AFRM just turned positive on June 24, 2024. Looking at past instances where AFRM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 28 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

AFRM moved above its 50-day moving average on June 24, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for AFRM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on June 24, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 8 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AFRM advanced for three days, in of 205 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 85%.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.055) is normal, around the industry mean (30.463). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (157.779). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.738). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.082) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.495) is also within normal values, averaging (54.818).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AFRM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AFRM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Shopify (NYSE:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 10.48B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 3.15T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.15T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 10%. SANT experienced the highest price growth at 121%, while NHIQ experienced the biggest fall at -60%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 76%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 65% and the average quarterly volume growth was 139%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 75
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 83
Profit Risk Rating: 89
Seasonality Score: 14 (-100 ... +100)
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