Tilray Inc. experienced a loss for the fourth quarter, but had blockbuster growth in sales - thanks to a burgeoning medical marijuana market.
The Canadian pharmaceutical and marijuana company incurred a net loss of -33 cents per share for the three months ending in December, compared to a 4 cents per share profit from the same period in 2017. The company’s revenue, however, tripled to $15.5 million – beating analysts’ estimates of $14.1 million. According to Tilray, the number of kilograms of cannabis and derivative products increased nearly three-fold to 2,053, from 694 kilograms of the year-ago quarter.
Sales for the full-year 2018 surged +110% to $43.1 million.
Tilray felt a downward pressure on its fourth quarter gross margins, which at 20% were nearly a third the rate of the previous period. CEO Brendan Kennedy attributed this to increased procurement costs and taxes for medical patients, while also portending a potential future temporary headwind to margins from the company’s overseas expansion plans. But Kennedy seemed more optimistic on the long-term prospects. "Longer term, we continue to expect 50% plus gross margins as we lower our costs through greenhouse and outdoor cultivation, and as we ramp those facilities past the start-up phase," Kennedy said.
The fourth quarter saw Tilray make some major headway in business partnerships and expansion goals. The company expanded its collaboration with Sandoz (a division of Swiss drug maker Novartis) to widen the reach of medical cannabis to patients globally. Tilray also revealed plans of a research and development partnership with AB InBev, on non-alcohol THC and CBD-infused beverages – a project for which the two firms might invest up to $50 million each.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TLRY turned positive on April 30, 2024. Looking at past instances where TLRY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 65 cases where TLRY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 30, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TLRY as a result. In of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TLRY moved above its 50-day moving average on April 30, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 133 cases where TLRY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TLRY moved out of overbought territory on May 01, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 19 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 19 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The 10-day moving average for TLRY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 19, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TLRY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
TLRY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 30, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TLRY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.545) is normal, around the industry mean (49.719). P/E Ratio (8.518) is within average values for comparable stocks, (83.200). TLRY's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.825). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.115) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.355) is also within normal values, averaging (62.541).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TLRY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a holding company, whose subsidiaries engages in research, cultivation, processing and distribution of medical cannabis
Industry PharmaceuticalsOther