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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Dec 16, 2020

Tilray(TLRY, $9.57) to merge with Alphria

Canadian cannabis company Tilray Inc. announced plans to merger  with Aphria Inc. .The deal would create the world's largest cannabis company by revenue.

CNBC’s Sara Eisen tweeted that a deal announcement could come as early as Wednesday, following a Bloomberg Canada report.

 The merged entity would have Tilray as its name, Aphria shareholders would own a larger stake and a majority of the board seats.  The all-stock deal will create a company with an equity value of about C$4.8 billion ($3.8 billion).  The combined companies’ 12-month annual sales of C$874 million is higher than that of industry leaders such as Curaleaf Holdings Inc. and Canopy Growth Corp.

 The merged operation could likely move  its headquarters to the U.S. ,according to the report. 

Related Ticker: TLRY

TLRY in +2.76% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on October 24, 2025

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where TLRY advanced for three days, in of 209 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 136 cases where TLRY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for TLRY moved out of overbought territory on October 10, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 24 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 24 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 16, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TLRY as a result. In of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TLRY turned negative on October 15, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TLRY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

TLRY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 29, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TLRY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.086) is normal, around the industry mean (17.235). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (73.350). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.089). TLRY has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.031). P/S Ratio (1.680) is also within normal values, averaging (47.635).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TLRY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are ZOETIS (NYSE:ZTS), Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited (NYSE:TEVA), Elanco Animal Health (NYSE:ELAN), Bausch Health Companies (NYSE:BHC), Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc (NASDAQ:AVDL), Tilray Brands (NASDAQ:TLRY), BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:BCRX), Canopy Growth Corp (NASDAQ:CGC), Aurora Cannabis (NASDAQ:ACB), Journey Medical Corp (NASDAQ:DERM).

Industry description

A generic drug contains the same chemical substance as a drug that was originally protected by patents. Generic drugs are generally sold at cheaper price points, compared to name-brand pharmaceuticals, after patents for the more expensive drugs lapse. The generic drug industry has created a major market, thanks to the lower pricing. According to the Center for Justice and Democracy at New York Law School, 80 percent of all drugs prescribed are generic, and generic drugs are chosen 94 percent of the time when they are available. But their manufacturers must be able to prove to the FDA that they can be effective substitutes for the original drugs. Some of the major generic drug makers include Zoetis, Inc., Allergan plc and Mylan N.V.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Pharmaceuticals: Generic Industry is 4.05B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.12K to 64.68B. ZTS holds the highest valuation in this group at 64.68B. The lowest valued company is CANQF at 2.12K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Generic Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -0%, and the average quarterly price growth was 44%. HYEX experienced the highest price growth at 58%, while MILFF experienced the biggest fall at -61%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Generic Industry was -41%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -16% and the average quarterly volume growth was -12%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 65
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 81
Profit Risk Rating: 90
Seasonality Score: 0 (-100 ... +100)
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TLRY
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. TLRY showed earnings on October 09, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a holding company, whose subsidiaries engages in research, cultivation, processing and distribution of medical cannabis

Industry PharmaceuticalsGeneric

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Biotechnology
Address
265 Talbot Street West
Phone
+1 844 845-7291
Employees
1600
Web
https://www.tilray.com
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