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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jul 23, 2018
Too. Much. Meat.

Too. Much. Meat.

Meat is starting to pile up in U.S. warehouses, with some 2.5 billion pounds of beef, pork, poultry, and turkey now sitting in cold storage as producers confront the impact of rising tariffs with China. Supplies are surging domestically while demand abroad is waning, which could have the effect of lowering prices for U.S. consumers. Same time, lowering prices domestically could crimp profit margins for meat producers here in the U.S., who would prefer to have a better trade agreement with China. Government figures coming as early as today are expected to show record stockpiles.

Related Ticker: TSN

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


TSN in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on September 03, 2026

TSN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 22 of 33 cases where TSN's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TSN's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 21 of 33 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 34 of 54 cases where TSN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.

Following a +1.33% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSN advanced for three days, in 174 of 288 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 27, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TSN as a result. In 55 of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TSN turned negative on August 26, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 28 of the 40 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 70%.

TSN moved below its 50-day moving average on August 24, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for TSN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 13, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 6 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 33%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.

The Aroon Indicator for TSN entered a downward trend on September 08, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 17 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 19 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.034) is normal, around the industry mean (2.886). P/E Ratio (32.815) is within average values for comparable stocks, (34.671). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.044) is also within normal values, averaging (2.447). Dividend Yield (0.038) settles around the average of (0.044) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.339) is also within normal values, averaging (2.395).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TSN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 86 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TSN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Archer Daniels Midland Company (NYSE:ADM), Tyson Foods (NYSE:TSN), Cal-Maine Foods (NASDAQ:CALM).

Industry description

The Agricultural Commodities/Milling industry includes companies that are involved in farming activities, such as crop production, livestock management and animal feed, for commercial purposes. The industry includes a wide range of operations from growing corn, to grain and oilseed processing to the operation of flour mills. Changes in consumer tastes is one of the critical factors influencing what products are grown and raised in this industry. Potential risks to the business include climate change and fluctuations in global prices of agricultural products. Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Elanco Animal Health, Inc., Bunge Limited and Canopy Growth Corporation are some of the biggest U.S. companies operating in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Agricultural Commodities/Milling Industry is 4.68B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 459 to 41.66B. ADM holds the highest valuation in this group at 41.66B. The lowest valued company is KALRQ at 459.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Agricultural Commodities/Milling Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 0%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10%. LOCL experienced the highest price growth at 14%, while LMNR experienced the biggest fall at -11%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Agricultural Commodities/Milling Industry was -4%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 17% and the average quarterly volume growth was -45%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 39
P/E Growth Rating: 66
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 91
Profit Risk Rating: 87
Seasonality Score: -42 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a distributer of chicken, beef, pork, prepared foods and related allied products

Industry AgriculturalCommoditiesMilling

Profile
Details
Industry
Food Meat Or Fish Or Dairy
Address
2200 West Don Tyson Parkway
Phone
+1 479 290-4000
Employees
133000
Web
https://www.tysonfoods.com
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