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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jul 23, 2018
Too. Much. Meat.

Too. Much. Meat.

Meat is starting to pile up in U.S. warehouses, with some 2.5 billion pounds of beef, pork, poultry, and turkey now sitting in cold storage as producers confront the impact of rising tariffs with China. Supplies are surging domestically while demand abroad is waning, which could have the effect of lowering prices for U.S. consumers. Same time, lowering prices domestically could crimp profit margins for meat producers here in the U.S., who would prefer to have a better trade agreement with China. Government figures coming as early as today are expected to show record stockpiles.

Related Ticker: TSN

TSN in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on March 10, 2026

TSN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 32 cases where TSN's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSN advanced for three days, in of 289 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TSN as a result. In of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TSN turned negative on February 10, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

TSN moved below its 50-day moving average on March 06, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for TSN entered a downward trend on March 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.168) is normal, around the industry mean (2.790). P/E Ratio (106.804) is within average values for comparable stocks, (88.129). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.946) is also within normal values, averaging (1.983). Dividend Yield (0.034) settles around the average of (0.042) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.386) is also within normal values, averaging (37.910).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TSN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TSN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Archer Daniels Midland Company (NYSE:ADM), Tyson Foods (NYSE:TSN), Cal-Maine Foods (NASDAQ:CALM).

Industry description

The Agricultural Commodities/Milling industry includes companies that are involved in farming activities, such as crop production, livestock management and animal feed, for commercial purposes. The industry includes a wide range of operations from growing corn, to grain and oilseed processing to the operation of flour mills. Changes in consumer tastes is one of the critical factors influencing what products are grown and raised in this industry. Potential risks to the business include climate change and fluctuations in global prices of agricultural products. Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Elanco Animal Health, Inc., Bunge Limited and Canopy Growth Corporation are some of the biggest U.S. companies operating in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Agricultural Commodities/Milling Industry is 3.38B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 459 to 34.75B. HPTYD holds the highest valuation in this group at 34.75B. The lowest valued company is KALRQ at 459.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Agricultural Commodities/Milling Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4%. AGRZ experienced the highest price growth at 182%, while HERB experienced the biggest fall at -23%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Agricultural Commodities/Milling Industry was 2,806%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 2,229% and the average quarterly volume growth was 2,697%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 44
P/E Growth Rating: 57
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 79
Profit Risk Rating: 81
Seasonality Score: 1 (-100 ... +100)
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TSN
Daily Signal:
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. TSN showed earnings on February 02, 2026. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a distributer of chicken, beef, pork, prepared foods and related allied products

Industry AgriculturalCommoditiesMilling

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Food Meat Or Fish Or Dairy
Address
2200 West Don Tyson Parkway
Phone
+1 479 290-4000
Employees
139000
Web
https://www.tysonfoods.com
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