TransCanada (TRP, $39.12) Hopes To Begin Keystone XL in June
TransCanada Corp. is hoping to start work on Keystone XL oil pipeline project in June.
For a long time, the Keystone project was stuck amidst opposition from environmental groups and landowners. The 1,200-mile (1,900-kilometer) pipeline could potentially carry 830,000 barrels of crude a day from Alberta’s oil sands to U.S. Gulf Coast refiners.
In a court filing on Monday, the pipeline company said that pre-construction activities, like setting up pipe yards and work camps, will resume by February, following which full work can start by June and get completed in late 2020 (as reported by Bloomberg). The pipeline is expected to start operating in early 2021. According to TransCanada’s letter filed in U.S. District Court in Montana, a yearlong delay would cost the company $949 million in lost profits and push back the hiring of about 6,600 workers.
A court hearing is scheduled for January 14.
TRP in downward trend: 10-day moving average moved below 50-day moving average on May 26, 2023
The 10-day moving average for TRP crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 26, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 12, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TRP as a result. In of 69 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TRP turned negative on May 12, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
TRP moved below its 50-day moving average on May 23, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TRP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for TRP entered a downward trend on May 19, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TRP advanced for three days, in of 348 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.840) is normal, around the industry mean (84.975). P/E Ratio (34.014) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.790). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.788) is also within normal values, averaging (2.148). Dividend Yield (0.069) settles around the average of (0.074) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.422) is also within normal values, averaging (2.342).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. TRP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a provider of natural gas transportation services
Industry OilGasPipelines
TRP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TRP has been closely correlated with ENB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TRP jumps, then ENB could also see price increases.
