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published in Blogs
Oct 28, 2019
Travelers (TRV, $130.43) disappoints on Q3 earnings

Travelers (TRV, $130.43) disappoints on Q3 earnings

The  Travelers Companies reported third quarter earnings which fell short of analysts’ expectations.

The insurance company’s third-quarter 2019 core earnings of $1.43 per share came in way lower than  Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.38.

Travelers’ total revenues increased + 4% from the year-ago quarter to $8 billion.

Net written premiums rose +7% year over year to a record $7.6 billion. This happened primarily due to increase in each of the business segments.  Business and International Insurance net written premiums increased +7% year-over-year for the quarter, Bond & Specialty Insurance’s net written premiums grew +13%, and Personal Insurance had a +7%  rise in net written premiums.

However, Travelers incurred underwriting loss of -$149 million, compared to underwriting income of $198 million in the year-ago period.

As for the different segment’s income in the quarter, Business Insurance’s was down - 60.2% year over year, Bond & Specialty Insurance’s fell -29.1%, and that of Personal Insurance dropped  -14.4%.

Travelers repurchased 2.6 million shares worth $375 million in the quarter. The company now has $2.161 billion worth of shares remaining under its existing buyback authorization.
 
Also, the company’s board approved a quarterly dividend of 82 cents per share, which will be paid out on Dec 31, 2019 to shareholders of record at the close of business as of Dec 10, 2019

Related Ticker: TRV

TRV's RSI Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory

The RSI Indicator for TRV moved out of oversold territory on March 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 21 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 21 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TRV as a result. In of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TRV just turned positive on April 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where TRV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TRV advanced for three days, in of 350 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

TRV moved below its 50-day moving average on April 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for TRV crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TRV declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

TRV broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for TRV entered a downward trend on April 08, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 56, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TRV’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to slightly better than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.922) is normal, around the industry mean (2.096). P/E Ratio (10.837) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.024). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.360) is also within normal values, averaging (3.828). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.386) is also within normal values, averaging (1.417).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Industry description

Property and casualty companies insure against accidents of non-physical harm, such as lawsuits, damage to personal assets, car crashes and more. Progressive Corporation, Travelers Companies, Inc. and Allstate Corporation are some of the biggest providers of such products.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Property/Casualty Insurance Industry is 17.11B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 93.9K to 127.39B. CB holds the highest valuation in this group at 127.39B. The lowest valued company is UNAM at 93.9K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Property/Casualty Insurance Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 0%. FIGP experienced the highest price growth at 15%, while PRHI experienced the biggest fall at -15%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Property/Casualty Insurance Industry was 6%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -10% and the average quarterly volume growth was -20%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 73
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 76
Profit Risk Rating: 55
Seasonality Score: -1 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: PROPERTY & CASUALTY INSURANCE
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published price charts
These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. TRV showed earnings on January 21, 2026. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of commercial, personal property and casualty insurance products

Industry PropertyCasualtyInsurance

Profile
Details
Industry
Property Or Casualty Insurance
Address
485 Lexington Avenue
Phone
+1 917 778-6000
Employees
33300
Web
https://www.travelers.com
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