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Oct 28, 2019

Travelers (TRV, $130.43) disappoints on Q3 earnings

The  Travelers Companies reported third quarter earnings which fell short of analysts’ expectations.

The insurance company’s third-quarter 2019 core earnings of $1.43 per share came in way lower than  Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.38.

Travelers’ total revenues increased + 4% from the year-ago quarter to $8 billion.

Net written premiums rose +7% year over year to a record $7.6 billion. This happened primarily due to increase in each of the business segments.  Business and International Insurance net written premiums increased +7% year-over-year for the quarter, Bond & Specialty Insurance’s net written premiums grew +13%, and Personal Insurance had a +7%  rise in net written premiums.

However, Travelers incurred underwriting loss of -$149 million, compared to underwriting income of $198 million in the year-ago period.

As for the different segment’s income in the quarter, Business Insurance’s was down - 60.2% year over year, Bond & Specialty Insurance’s fell -29.1%, and that of Personal Insurance dropped  -14.4%.

Travelers repurchased 2.6 million shares worth $375 million in the quarter. The company now has $2.161 billion worth of shares remaining under its existing buyback authorization.
 
Also, the company’s board approved a quarterly dividend of 82 cents per share, which will be paid out on Dec 31, 2019 to shareholders of record at the close of business as of Dec 10, 2019

Related Ticker: TRV

TRV sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

TRV saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on February 05, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 49 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for TRV moved out of overbought territory on February 28, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 31 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 66 cases where TRV's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TRV declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

TRV broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 22, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on February 06, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TRV as a result. In of 92 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TRV advanced for three days, in of 361 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 298 cases where TRV Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. TRV’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 61, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.032) is normal, around the industry mean (2.135). P/E Ratio (17.276) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.871). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.682) is also within normal values, averaging (1.030). Dividend Yield (0.018) settles around the average of (0.043) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.240) is also within normal values, averaging (1.346).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Industry description

Property and casualty companies insure against accidents of non-physical harm, such as lawsuits, damage to personal assets, car crashes and more. Progressive Corporation, Travelers Companies, Inc. and Allstate Corporation are some of the biggest providers of such products.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Property/Casualty Insurance Industry is 14.31B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 93.9K to 111.02B. PGR holds the highest valuation in this group at 111.02B. The lowest valued company is UNAM at 93.9K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Property/Casualty Insurance Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 7%, and the average quarterly price growth was 18%. ROOT experienced the highest price growth at 142%, while TILCF experienced the biggest fall at -26%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Property/Casualty Insurance Industry was 22%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 93% and the average quarterly volume growth was 154%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 48
P/E Growth Rating: 62
Price Growth Rating: 47
SMR Rating: 89
Profit Risk Rating: 61
Seasonality Score: 4 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: PROPERTY & CASUALTY INSURANCE
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TRVDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of commercial, personal property and casualty insurance products

Industry PropertyCasualtyInsurance

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Property Or Casualty Insurance
Address
485 Lexington Avenue
Phone
+1 917 778-6000
Employees
33300
Web
https://www.travelers.com
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TRV and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TRV has been closely correlated with CB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TRV jumps, then CB could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To TRV
1D Price
Change %
TRV100%
+0.24%
CB - TRV
77%
Closely correlated
-0.75%
HIG - TRV
73%
Closely correlated
+0.24%
L - TRV
69%
Closely correlated
+0.09%
AXS - TRV
66%
Closely correlated
-0.11%
CNA - TRV
61%
Loosely correlated
-0.75%
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