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published in Blogs
Jun 28, 2019

Tyson Foods finds support at its 50-day moving average and gets a bullish signal

Consumer staples company Tyson Foods (NYSE: TSN) has been on a nice run since the end of December. The stock briefly dipped below the $50 level back on December 26, but it rallied sharply in the last six months and hit a recent high of $84.30 on June 13. The stock has pulled back slightly in the last few weeks, but it appears to have found support at its 50-day moving average.

The 10-day RSI dipped down to the 35 area and that’s the same area where the indicator dropped to back at the end of May. The indicator has turned higher in the last few days and the stochastic indicators made a bullish crossover on June 21.

Tickeron’s Trend Prediction Engine generated a bullish signal for Tyson on June 20. The signal calls for a gain of at least 4% within the next month. It showed a confidence level of 89% and past predictions on the stock have been accurate 62% of the time.

Tyson’s fundamentals are somewhat mixed at this time. The company was able to grow earnings at a rate of 16% per year over the last three years, but earnings declined by 6% in the most recent quarterly report.

Even the management efficiency measurements are mixed with the return on equity above average at 19.5% while the profit margin is below average at 7.4%.

Related Ticker: TSN

TSN in downward trend: 10-day moving average broke below 50-day moving average on May 31, 2024

The 10-day moving average for TSN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 31, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 28, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TSN as a result. In of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

TSN moved below its 50-day moving average on May 28, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 13 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSN advanced for three days, in of 292 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

TSN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TSN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.138) is normal, around the industry mean (17.545). P/E Ratio (48.532) is within average values for comparable stocks, (26.284). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (18.507) is also within normal values, averaging (15.410). Dividend Yield (0.033) settles around the average of (0.045) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.386) is also within normal values, averaging (7.250).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TSN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Archer Daniels Midland Company (NYSE:ADM), Tyson Foods (NYSE:TSN), Cal-Maine Foods (NASDAQ:CALM).

Industry description

The Agricultural Commodities/Milling industry includes companies that are involved in farming activities, such as crop production, livestock management and animal feed, for commercial purposes. The industry includes a wide range of operations from growing corn, to grain and oilseed processing to the operation of flour mills. Changes in consumer tastes is one of the critical factors influencing what products are grown and raised in this industry. Potential risks to the business include climate change and fluctuations in global prices of agricultural products. Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Elanco Animal Health, Inc., Bunge Limited and Canopy Growth Corporation are some of the biggest U.S. companies operating in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Agricultural Commodities/Milling Industry is 2.43B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 459 to 34.75B. HPTYD holds the highest valuation in this group at 34.75B. The lowest valued company is KALRQ at 459.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Agricultural Commodities/Milling Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 13%. SISI experienced the highest price growth at 47%, while MSRM experienced the biggest fall at -16%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Agricultural Commodities/Milling Industry was 29%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -38% and the average quarterly volume growth was -17%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 49
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 71
Profit Risk Rating: 83
Seasonality Score: -9 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a distributer of chicken, beef, pork, prepared foods and related allied products

Industry AgriculturalCommoditiesMilling

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Food Meat Or Fish Or Dairy
Address
2200 West Don Tyson Parkway
Phone
+1 479 290-4000
Employees
139000
Web
https://www.tysonfoods.com
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