Tyson Profit Forecast Butchered By Tariffs
Tyson Foods Inc. cut back its profit projections for 2018, as tariffs and trade uncertainties take a toll on its export market.
The largest U.S. meat producer predicts its earnings for fiscal 2018 (excluding one-time items) to be about $5.70 to $6 a share - compared with a previous forecast of $6.55 to $6.70. While tariffs slapped by China and Mexico on American pork (following U.S. levies on imported steel and aluminum) pose headwinds to its meat export market, Tyson is also hurting from slowing domestic demand for chicken and commodity market volatility.
It is a challenging environment for U.S. meat producers like Tyson, as the export-heavy industry is undergoing a surge in production (and therefore potentially more surplus to be unloaded) amid global trade tensions.
Tyson Foods' Chief Executive Officer Tom Hayes has expressed that the company would be seeking pricing and cost management strategies to offset the effects of freight and feed ingredient costs.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
TSN in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on September 03, 2026
TSN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 22 of 33 cases where TSN's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TSN's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 21 of 33 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 34 of 54 cases where TSN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
Following a +1.33% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSN advanced for three days, in 174 of 288 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 27, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TSN as a result. In 55 of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TSN turned negative on August 26, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 28 of the 40 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 70%.
TSN moved below its 50-day moving average on August 24, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TSN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 13, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 6 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 33%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.
The Aroon Indicator for TSN entered a downward trend on September 08, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 17 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 19 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.034) is normal, around the industry mean (2.886). P/E Ratio (32.815) is within average values for comparable stocks, (34.671). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.044) is also within normal values, averaging (2.447). Dividend Yield (0.038) settles around the average of (0.044) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.339) is also within normal values, averaging (2.395).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TSN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 86 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TSN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a distributer of chicken, beef, pork, prepared foods and related allied products
Industry AgriculturalCommoditiesMilling
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