GET DAILY SIGNALSTyson Profit Forecast Butchered By Tariffs
Tyson Foods Inc. cut back its profit projections for 2018, as tariffs and trade uncertainties take a toll on its export market.
The largest U.S. meat producer predicts its earnings for fiscal 2018 (excluding one-time items) to be about $5.70 to $6 a share - compared with a previous forecast of $6.55 to $6.70. While tariffs slapped by China and Mexico on American pork (following U.S. levies on imported steel and aluminum) pose headwinds to its meat export market, Tyson is also hurting from slowing domestic demand for chicken and commodity market volatility.
It is a challenging environment for U.S. meat producers like Tyson, as the export-heavy industry is undergoing a surge in production (and therefore potentially more surplus to be unloaded) amid global trade tensions.
Tyson Foods' Chief Executive Officer Tom Hayes has expressed that the company would be seeking pricing and cost management strategies to offset the effects of freight and feed ingredient costs.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
Aroon Indicator for TSN shows an upward move is likely
TSN's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on November 10, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 163 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 100 of the 163 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 61%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TSN as a result. In 42 of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 46%.
TSN moved above its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TSN crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 8 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 44%.
Following a +1.02% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSN advanced for three days, in 164 of 282 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
TSN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TSN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 66 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.161) is normal, around the industry mean (2.266). P/E Ratio (35.737) is within average values for comparable stocks, (4.366). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.044) is also within normal values, averaging (2.441). Dividend Yield (0.034) settles around the average of (0.038) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.332) is also within normal values, averaging (2.353).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 87 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TSN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a distributer of chicken, beef, pork, prepared foods and related allied products
Industry AgriculturalCommoditiesMilling
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