The United States's largest life insurance firm by assets, Prudential Financial, felt the dual sting of the pandemic and low interest rates in 2020. The company posted its first annual loss since 2013, with final figures from 2020 showing a net loss of -$374 million. In the fourth quarter, profit plummeted by -27%, though the company still managed to post net income of $819 million. In the same quarter last year, profit was $1.13 billion.
The pandemic's impact on business is a more obvious reason major U.S. companies felt profit pressure in 2020. Less obvious is why interest falling interest rates would matter to the business. Here's why -- insurance companies like Prudential generally rely on high yielding bonds to generate interest on money being held to pay out benefits. When interest rates fall and earnings on those bonds fall with them, margins get squeezed and the insurance company is less profitable.
All insurance companies faced the same pressures as Prudential, but some fared better than others. Below, Tickeron's A.I.dvisor runs a full analysis of players in the Insurance industry, with trade ideas to go along with it. Overall, A.I.dvisor is bullish on the sector.
The RSI Oscillator for PUK moved out of oversold territory on January 18, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 41 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PUK just turned positive on February 16, 2024. Looking at past instances where PUK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PUK advanced for three days, in of 314 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
PUK may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 21, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PUK as a result. In of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PUK declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for PUK entered a downward trend on January 23, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.701) is normal, around the industry mean (1.368). P/E Ratio (8.418) is within average values for comparable stocks, (42.853). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.373) is also within normal values, averaging (1.498). Dividend Yield (0.018) settles around the average of (0.038) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.255) is also within normal values, averaging (2.132).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. PUK’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PUK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a holding company with interest in providing insurance and financial services
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PUK has been loosely correlated with MFC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if PUK jumps, then MFC could also see price increases.