U.S. trade gap fell 15% to $51.1 billion in January
The U.S. trade deficit fell nearly 15% in January, as both imports fell and exports rose. Shipments of American goods to China fell to the lowest level in more than eight years as the two countries still find themselves locked in a trade war.
The Commerce Department said the gap between the goods and services that the United States sells and what it buys from other countries dropped by 14.6% to $51.1 billion in January from $59.9 billion in December. Exports rose 0.9% to $207.3 billion, and imports dropped 2.6% to $258.5 billion. The deficit in the trade of goods with China narrowed by 6.4% to $34.5 billion. U.S. goods exports to China dropped 22.3% to $7.1 billion, lowest since September 2010; Chinese imports dropped 9.6% to $41.6 billion.
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Momentum Indicator for SPY turns positive, indicating new upward trend
SPY saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on September 21, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 76 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 66 of the 76 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 87%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SPY just turned positive on October 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where SPY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 43 of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
SPY moved above its 50-day moving average on September 17, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +1.23% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPY advanced for three days, in 301 of 362 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
SPY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for SPY entered a downward trend on September 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
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