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Indra Bhattacharjee's Avatar
published in Blogs
Apr 12, 2019

Uber eyeing a $10 billion IPO

Following Lyft (LYFT), global ride-hailing service provider Uber is set to go public in its first initial public offering with the SEC and expects to raise $10 billion from investors. The offering would the largest American IPO this year, and amongst the 10 largest of all time.

This will be the first time that Uber is releasing an exhaustive financial result to enable investors to look at the complete figures and compare them with Lyft’s who filed at IPO earlier this year.

The results reveal that Uber generated $50 billion in gross bookings last year, about 47% increase from last year. But the growth is slackening. Of the $11.4 billion of net revenue in 2018, only $3 billion came in the last three months of the year, up only 2% from the previous quarter. 

This will be major concern for the investors who would also be curious about where money is coming from for the company’s food delivery business. Another key point of inquiry would be whether Uber has saturated the U.S. market.

Other metrics along which Uber’s growth will be judged are its contributing margins and the number of active users. The latter is more complicated that the only the North American serving Lyft.

Last checked, Uber was valued at $76 billion and at the time its IPO was expected to raise $120 billion. Its losses for 2018 were $1.8 billion, down 15% from 2017. 

Related Ticker: LYFT

LYFT sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

LYFT saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on March 28, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 38 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for LYFT moved out of overbought territory on March 25, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 23 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 23 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 59 cases where LYFT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LYFT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

LYFT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 20, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on March 05, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on LYFT as a result. In of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LYFT advanced for three days, in of 285 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 186 cases where LYFT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. LYFT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (14.205) is normal, around the industry mean (28.570). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (146.405). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.742). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.085) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.684) is also within normal values, averaging (77.617).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. LYFT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Shopify (NYSE:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 10.44B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 3.15T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.15T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 14%. ICCO experienced the highest price growth at 195%, while MVLA experienced the biggest fall at -55%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 27%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -20% and the average quarterly volume growth was 59%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 76
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 83
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: -13 (-100 ... +100)
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LYFTDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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