Ulta (ULTA, $382.04) tops Q1 expectations
Ulta Beauty posted its first quarter earnings that surpassed analysts' expectations. Revenue, too, beat expectations.
The beauty/cosmetics company’s earnings came in at $6.28 per share, well above the $4.44 expected by analysts polled by Investing.com. Revenue rose +21% from the year-ago quarter to $2.35 billion also exceeding expectations of $2.12 billion.
Relaxation of pandemic-driven restrictions have proven to be beneficial for the company. Comparable store sales climbed + 18% from the year-ago month, on the back of a 10% jump in transactions and a 7% increase in each sale size.
Ulta boosted its forecast for the 2022 fiscal year, to a range of 6 percent to 8 percent year-on-year sales growth, to between $9.35 billion and $9.55 billion. Chief executive officer Dave Kimbell indicated that while inflation remains a concern, he was optimistic by consumers’ “emotional connection” to beauty.
ULTA in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on April 08, 2025
ULTA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 32 cases where ULTA's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 21, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ULTA as a result. In of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ULTA just turned positive on April 17, 2025. Looking at past instances where ULTA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
ULTA moved above its 50-day moving average on April 21, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ULTA crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on April 23, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ULTA advanced for three days, in of 336 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 239 cases where ULTA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 63 cases where ULTA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ULTA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ULTA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (11.198) is normal, around the industry mean (10.858). P/E Ratio (20.314) is within average values for comparable stocks, (34.733). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.047) is also within normal values, averaging (2.738). ULTA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.034). P/S Ratio (2.340) is also within normal values, averaging (20.083).
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General Information
a company that retails cosmetics and other personal care products
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