Ulta (ULTA, $382.04) tops Q1 expectations
Ulta Beauty posted its first quarter earnings that surpassed analysts' expectations. Revenue, too, beat expectations.
The beauty/cosmetics company’s earnings came in at $6.28 per share, well above the $4.44 expected by analysts polled by Investing.com. Revenue rose +21% from the year-ago quarter to $2.35 billion also exceeding expectations of $2.12 billion.
Relaxation of pandemic-driven restrictions have proven to be beneficial for the company. Comparable store sales climbed + 18% from the year-ago month, on the back of a 10% jump in transactions and a 7% increase in each sale size.
Ulta boosted its forecast for the 2022 fiscal year, to a range of 6 percent to 8 percent year-on-year sales growth, to between $9.35 billion and $9.55 billion. Chief executive officer Dave Kimbell indicated that while inflation remains a concern, he was optimistic by consumers’ “emotional connection” to beauty.
Momentum Indicator for ULTA turns positive, indicating new upward trend
ULTA saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on June 18, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 82 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 82 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The 50-day moving average for ULTA moved above the 200-day moving average on May 30, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ULTA advanced for three days, in of 336 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 242 cases where ULTA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ULTA moved out of overbought territory on June 10, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 44 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ULTA turned negative on June 12, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ULTA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
ULTA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 30, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. ULTA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (11.198) is normal, around the industry mean (10.858). P/E Ratio (20.314) is within average values for comparable stocks, (34.733). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.047) is also within normal values, averaging (2.738). ULTA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.034). P/S Ratio (2.340) is also within normal values, averaging (20.083).
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General Information
a company that retails cosmetics and other personal care products
Industry SpecialtyStores
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