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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jan 08, 2020

Under Armour (UA, $18.59) coverage resumed at J.P. Morgan with neutral rating

Analysts at J.P. Morgan resumed coverage of Under Armour this week.

This time, the  J.P. Morgan analysts gave a neutral rating on the sports and casual apparel maker’s stock . Their last rating on the shares was  outperform. Analysts at the bank have a $23 price target on the shares.

J.P. Morgan expects 4.7% fourth-quarter revenue growth for Under Armour, compared to Wall Street’s estimate of 5.7% growth. Fiscal 2020 revenue growth estimate is 3.8% at J.P. Morgan, vs. 4.7% on Wall Street.  EBIT estimate is $298 million at J.P. Morgan, compared to $311 million estimate of the Street.

 

Related Ticker: UA

UA's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for UA entered a downward trend on October 06, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 221 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 221 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 10, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UA as a result. In of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 63 cases where UA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for UA just turned positive on October 22, 2025. Looking at past instances where UA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UA advanced for three days, in of 296 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

UA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. UA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.071) is normal, around the industry mean (5.107). P/E Ratio (21.273) is within average values for comparable stocks, (27.232). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.738) is also within normal values, averaging (1.628). UA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.035). P/S Ratio (0.394) is also within normal values, averaging (1.192).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. UA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are VF Corp (NYSE:VFC), Canada Goose Holdings (NYSE:GOOS), G-III Apparel Group Ltd (NASDAQ:GIII), Lakeland Industries (NASDAQ:LAKE).

Industry description

Apparel/footwear might be slightly more ‘cyclical’ in the largely non-cyclical category of non-durables. While digital giants like Amazon have been rapidly expanding their presence, traditional clothing/footwear retailers have also been bulking up their online presence in recent years, to milk the burgeoning trend of online shopping among consumers across the globe. The apparel and footwear retail market was valued at around $ 360 billion in 2018, and this figure was expected to reach about $386 billion by 2020 (according to a Statista report). NIKE, Inc, V.F. Corporation and Under Armour, Inc. are some of the companies with the largest U.S. stock market caps in this segment.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Industry is 4.04B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.66K to 30.34B. HNNMY holds the highest valuation in this group at 30.34B. The lowest valued company is SQBGQ at 1.66K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 18%. LITB experienced the highest price growth at 40%, while XELB experienced the biggest fall at -31%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Industry was -14%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -58% and the average quarterly volume growth was -14%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 54
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 59
Profit Risk Rating: 79
Seasonality Score: 24 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. UA showed earnings on August 08, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
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published General Information

General Information

a designer of branded performance products for men, women and youth

Industry ApparelFootwear

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Apparel Or Footwear
Address
1020 Hull Street
Phone
+1 410 468-2512
Employees
15000
Web
https://www.underarmour.com
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