Under Armour (UAA, $17.57) beats Q4 expectations; but supply chain issues affect outlook
Under Armour reported fourth-quarter earnings and sales that beat analysts’ expectations. However, supply chain constraints weigh on its projection.
Adjusted earnings came in at 14 cents , well ahead of 7 cents expected by analysts polled by Refinitiv.
Revenue of $1.53 billion also topped the Street estimates of $1.47 billion.
Net revenue in North America grew +15% year-over-year . International sales rose +3%. E-commerce sales increased +4% from the year-ago period.
Following a three-month transition period from Jan. 1, 2022, to March 31, the company expects sales to increase by a mid-single-digit rate, compared with a prior forecast for a low-single-digit increase. Supply chain constraints are restricting the amount of spring and summer products it can offer, thereby potentially pressuring sales. It expects earnings for that period to be in a range of 2 cents to 3 cents a share.
UAA sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
UAA saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on July 11, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 16, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UAA as a result. In of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UAA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
UAA moved above its 50-day moving average on June 20, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UAA advanced for three days, in of 302 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 228 cases where UAA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. UAA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.464) is normal, around the industry mean (3.082). P/E Ratio (8.213) is within average values for comparable stocks, (28.555). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.862) is also within normal values, averaging (1.991). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.036) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.574) is also within normal values, averaging (1.500).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. UAA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a designer of branded performance products for men, women and youth
Industry ApparelFootwear
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