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Feb 14, 2022
Under Armour (UAA, $17.57) beats Q4 expectations; but supply chain issues affect outlook

Under Armour (UAA, $17.57) beats Q4 expectations; but supply chain issues affect outlook

Under Armour reported fourth-quarter earnings and sales that beat analysts’ expectations. However, supply chain constraints weigh on its projection.

Adjusted earnings came in at 14 cents , well ahead of 7 cents expected by analysts polled by Refinitiv.

Revenue of $1.53 billion also topped the Street estimates of $1.47 billion.

Net revenue in North America grew +15% year-over-year . International sales rose +3%. E-commerce sales increased +4% from the year-ago period.

Following a three-month transition period from Jan. 1, 2022, to March 31, the company expects sales to increase by a mid-single-digit rate, compared with a prior forecast for a low-single-digit increase. Supply chain constraints are restricting the amount of spring and summer products it can offer, thereby potentially pressuring sales. It expects earnings for that period to be in a range of 2 cents to 3 cents a share.

Related Ticker: UAA

UAA in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on August 06, 2026

UAA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 39 cases where UAA's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where UAA's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 42 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 14 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UAA advanced for three days, in of 276 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 30, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UAA as a result. In of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for UAA turned negative on July 24, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

UAA moved below its 50-day moving average on August 07, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for UAA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 12, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UAA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for UAA entered a downward trend on August 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.621) is normal, around the industry mean (6.314). P/E Ratio (20.955) is within average values for comparable stocks, (29.463). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.240) is also within normal values, averaging (0.954). UAA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.024). P/S Ratio (0.468) is also within normal values, averaging (0.912).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. UAA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. UAA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are VF Corp (NYSE:VFC), G-III Apparel Group Ltd (NASDAQ:GIII), Canada Goose Holdings (NYSE:GOOS), Lakeland Industries (NASDAQ:LAKE).

Industry description

Apparel/footwear might be slightly more ‘cyclical’ in the largely non-cyclical category of non-durables. While digital giants like Amazon have been rapidly expanding their presence, traditional clothing/footwear retailers have also been bulking up their online presence in recent years, to milk the burgeoning trend of online shopping among consumers across the globe. The apparel and footwear retail market was valued at around $ 360 billion in 2018, and this figure was expected to reach about $386 billion by 2020 (according to a Statista report). NIKE, Inc, V.F. Corporation and Under Armour, Inc. are some of the companies with the largest U.S. stock market caps in this segment.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Industry is 3.13B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.66K to 27.62B. HNNMY holds the highest valuation in this group at 27.62B. The lowest valued company is SQBGQ at 1.66K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 4%. NCI experienced the highest price growth at 6%, while XELB experienced the biggest fall at -8%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Industry was 8%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 2% and the average quarterly volume growth was -27%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 52
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 70
Profit Risk Rating: 91
Seasonality Score: -24 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a designer of branded performance products for men, women and youth

Industry ApparelFootwear

Profile
Details
Industry
Apparel Or Footwear
Address
1020 Hull Street
Phone
+1 410 468-2512
Employees
15000
Web
https://www.underarmour.com
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