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Nov 27, 2019

Under Armour (UAA, $18.93) gets rating boost from Raymond James analyst

Under Armour Inc. shares got a rating upgrade from after analysts at Raymond James.

Raymond James analyst Matthew McClintock raised his rating on the sports apparel and footwear retailer to "strong buy" from "outperform", citing the company’s risk/return profile. McClintock maintained his price target on the stock at $30 a share.

McClintock said that Under Armour was ahead of schedule on new product sales. He also mentioned that the headline risks related to a recent Department of Justice investigation might be less than initially anticipated.

Under Armour’s revenue recognition accounting is being investigated by the U.S. Department of Justice and the Securities and Exchange Commission, as was reported by the Wall Street Journal. Under Armour said its "practices and disclosures were appropriate" and that it has been co-operating with the agencies on the investigations.

For the full-year 2019, Under Armour is expecting earnings at the higher end of its prior forecast range of between 33 cents and 34 cents per share. The company now projects revenues to experience + 2% growth in the year partly due to lower-than-expected excess inventory; the forecast is lower than its prior guidance of +3% to +4% growth.

 

Related Ticker: UAA

UAA in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on March 12, 2024

UAA moved below its 50-day moving average on March 12, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 37 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 11, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UAA as a result. In of 76 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for UAA turned negative on March 08, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 41 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

The 10-day moving average for UAA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 18, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UAA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where UAA's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 13 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UAA advanced for three days, in of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

UAA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 250 cases where UAA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. UAA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.454) is normal, around the industry mean (3.134). P/E Ratio (8.157) is within average values for comparable stocks, (27.615). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.849) is also within normal values, averaging (1.791). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.039) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.570) is also within normal values, averaging (1.798).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. UAA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Nike (NYSE:NKE), Skechers USA (NYSE:SKX), VF Corp (NYSE:VFC), G-III Apparel Group Ltd (NASDAQ:GIII), Canada Goose Holdings (NYSE:GOOS), Lakeland Industries (NASDAQ:LAKE).

Industry description

Apparel/footwear might be slightly more ‘cyclical’ in the largely non-cyclical category of non-durables. While digital giants like Amazon have been rapidly expanding their presence, traditional clothing/footwear retailers have also been bulking up their online presence in recent years, to milk the burgeoning trend of online shopping among consumers across the globe. The apparel and footwear retail market was valued at around $ 360 billion in 2018, and this figure was expected to reach about $386 billion by 2020 (according to a Statista report). NIKE, Inc, V.F. Corporation and Under Armour, Inc. are some of the companies with the largest U.S. stock market caps in this segment.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Industry is 5.87B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.66K to 142.62B. NKE holds the highest valuation in this group at 142.62B. The lowest valued company is SQBGQ at 1.66K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -0%, and the average quarterly price growth was 8%. HMRZF experienced the highest price growth at 23%, while SEPGF experienced the biggest fall at -26%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Industry was -8%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -15% and the average quarterly volume growth was -43%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 51
P/E Growth Rating: 64
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 63
Profit Risk Rating: 79
Seasonality Score: 0 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a designer of branded performance products for men, women and youth

Industry ApparelFootwear

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Apparel Or Footwear
Address
1020 Hull Street
Phone
+1 410 468-2512
Employees
15000
Web
https://www.underarmour.com
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