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Apr 17, 2019
United Continental (UAL, $88.03) Q1 earnings surpasses analysts' estimates, and reaffirms full-year guidance

United Continental (UAL, $88.03) Q1 earnings surpasses analysts' estimates, and reaffirms full-year guidance

United Continental Holdings’ earnings for the first quarter beat analysts’ estimates. The company reaffirmed its outlook for the full-year.

The airline company’s  unadjusted earnings for the first quarter came in at $1.15 a share, compared to 95 cents a share expected by analysts polled by FactSet.

The quarterly profit on an adjusted basis was $292 million (or $1.09 a share), doubling from the year-ago quarter’s $145 million (or 51 cents a share). Revenue of $9.59 billion, however, fell slightly short of analysts’ expectations of $9.61 billion. But it was still higher than the prior year period’s $9.03 billion.

Shaken by recent crashes of Boeing 737 MAX 8 aircrafts flown by Lion Air and Ethiopian Airlines respectively, United said earlier this week that it was canceling MAX flights through early July. United has 14 737 MAX 9 jets in its fleet, not the MAX 8 variant.

United reiterated its full-year earnings guidance of the range $10 to $12 per share for 2019, which is higher than current FactSet consensus estimates of $11.09 a share. The carrier projects earnings of $11 to $13 a share on an adjusted basis for 2020, compared to FactSet consensus estimates of $12.09 a share.

Related Ticker: UAL

UAL's RSI Indicator recovers from overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Oscillator for UAL moved out of overbought territory on July 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 36 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UAL as a result. In of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for UAL turned negative on July 07, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UAL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

UAL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 24, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

The 50-day moving average for UAL moved above the 200-day moving average on June 24, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UAL advanced for three days, in of 309 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 246 cases where UAL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. UAL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.288) is normal, around the industry mean (3.209). P/E Ratio (11.021) is within average values for comparable stocks, (20.309). UAL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (6.503) is slightly higher than the industry average of (3.163). UAL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.019). P/S Ratio (0.612) is also within normal values, averaging (0.608).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Delta Air Lines (NYSE:DAL), United Airlines Holdings (NASDAQ:UAL), Southwest Airlines Co (NYSE:LUV), American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL), JetBlue Airways Corp (NASDAQ:JBLU).

Industry description

Airlines industry comprises passenger air transportation, including scheduled and non-scheduled routes. This can include charter airlines, as well as regular commuter ones. Discount pricing and the rise of low-cost carriers over recent decades have expanded the industry by making its services accessible to a much larger global population, compared to the older days when airline travel was a relative luxury for many people in the world. Delta Air Lines Inc., Southwest Airlines Co and United Continental Holdings, Inc. are some of the airlines with the largest stock market capitalizations in the U.S.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Airlines Industry is 11.05B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 9.36K to 1.51T. AZULD holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.51T. The lowest valued company is KLMR at 9.36K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Airlines Industry was -4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -9%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8%. LUV experienced the highest price growth at 2%, while FLYX experienced the biggest fall at -24%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Airlines Industry was -29%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -47% and the average quarterly volume growth was 4%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 45
P/E Growth Rating: 60
Price Growth Rating: 48
SMR Rating: 65
Profit Risk Rating: 74
Seasonality Score: -35 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a holding company with interest in transporting people and cargo through mainline operations, which utilize full-sized jet aircraft

Industry Airlines

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Industry
Airlines
Address
233 South Wacker Drive
Phone
+1 872 825-4000
Employees
92795
Web
https://www.united.com
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