United Parcel Service (UPS, $183.59) misses Q4 revenue expectations, while beating earnings estimates
United Parcel Service posted fourth quarter earnings that exceeded analysts’ expectations. Revenue, however, missed Street forecasts amid a decrease in international deliveries..
UPS earnings for the three months ending in December came in at $3.96 per share, vs. a loss of -90 cents per share in the year-ago quarter. It beat the Street consensus forecast of $3.59 per share. Revenues slipped -2.8% to $27 billion, falling short of analysts' estimates of $28.08 billion.
The company’s domestic segment revenues were up +3.1% year-over-year to $18.25 billion. Revenue-per-piece rose +7.2%. International revenues, however, fell -8.3% to $4.95 billion.
For 2023, UPS projects revenues between $97 billion and $99.4 billion, with margins in the range of 12.8% to 13.6%.
The company announced dividends of around $5.4 billion with share buyback of $3 billion.
UPS in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 16, 2025
UPS moved above its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 39 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 20, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on UPS as a result. In of 101 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for UPS just turned positive on October 16, 2025. Looking at past instances where UPS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UPS advanced for three days, in of 303 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 193 cases where UPS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UPS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
UPS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 03, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.739) is normal, around the industry mean (2.787). P/E Ratio (13.104) is within average values for comparable stocks, (174.697). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.382) is also within normal values, averaging (1.686). UPS's Dividend Yield (0.074) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.029). P/S Ratio (0.831) is also within normal values, averaging (0.973).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. UPS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. UPS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a provider of global package delivery and supply chain management solutions
Industry OtherTransportation
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