United Parcel Service (UPS, $183.59) misses Q4 revenue expectations, while beating earnings estimates
United Parcel Service posted fourth quarter earnings that exceeded analysts’ expectations. Revenue, however, missed Street forecasts amid a decrease in international deliveries..
UPS earnings for the three months ending in December came in at $3.96 per share, vs. a loss of -90 cents per share in the year-ago quarter. It beat the Street consensus forecast of $3.59 per share. Revenues slipped -2.8% to $27 billion, falling short of analysts' estimates of $28.08 billion.
The company’s domestic segment revenues were up +3.1% year-over-year to $18.25 billion. Revenue-per-piece rose +7.2%. International revenues, however, fell -8.3% to $4.95 billion.
For 2023, UPS projects revenues between $97 billion and $99.4 billion, with margins in the range of 12.8% to 13.6%.
The company announced dividends of around $5.4 billion with share buyback of $3 billion.
UPS in +4.68% Uptrend, advancing for three consecutive days on July 23, 2025
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where UPS advanced for three days, in of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for UPS's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
UPS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 205 cases where UPS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 65 cases where UPS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 29, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UPS as a result. In of 100 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for UPS turned negative on July 29, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
UPS moved below its 50-day moving average on July 29, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UPS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.278) is normal, around the industry mean (20.642). P/E Ratio (18.926) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.262). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.752) is also within normal values, averaging (10.503). Dividend Yield (0.044) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.396) is also within normal values, averaging (1.303).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. UPS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. UPS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a provider of global package delivery and supply chain management solutions
Industry AirFreightCouriers
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