United Parcel Service posted fourth quarter earnings that exceeded analysts’ expectations. Revenue, however, missed Street forecasts amid a decrease in international deliveries..
UPS earnings for the three months ending in December came in at $3.96 per share, vs. a loss of -90 cents per share in the year-ago quarter. It beat the Street consensus forecast of $3.59 per share. Revenues slipped -2.8% to $27 billion, falling short of analysts' estimates of $28.08 billion.
The company’s domestic segment revenues were up +3.1% year-over-year to $18.25 billion. Revenue-per-piece rose +7.2%. International revenues, however, fell -8.3% to $4.95 billion.
For 2023, UPS projects revenues between $97 billion and $99.4 billion, with margins in the range of 12.8% to 13.6%.
The company announced dividends of around $5.4 billion with share buyback of $3 billion.
The 10-day moving average for UPS crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on March 12, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UPS advanced for three days, in of 322 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
UPS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 213 cases where UPS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for UPS moved out of overbought territory on March 13, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 30 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 30 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 61 cases where UPS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 26, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UPS as a result. In of 95 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for UPS turned negative on March 26, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
UPS moved below its 50-day moving average on March 26, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UPS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.262) is normal, around the industry mean (17.686). P/E Ratio (18.888) is within average values for comparable stocks, (21.693). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.748) is also within normal values, averaging (10.510). Dividend Yield (0.044) settles around the average of (0.043) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.393) is also within normal values, averaging (1.146).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. UPS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a provider of global package delivery and supply chain management solutions
Industry AirFreightCouriers