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Jul 18, 2019
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UnitedHealth (UNH, $261.81) beats Q2 earnings expectations and raised full-year profit outlook

UnitedHealth (UNH, $261.81) beats Q2 earnings expectations and raised full-year profit outlook

UnitedHealth Group's earnings for the three months ending in June came in higher than expected, and the company also boosted its full-year profit guidance. However, the company cautioned about a possible miss on 2019 revenue forecasts.

The healthcare company reported adjusted earnings of $3.60 per share for the quarter, which is 15 cents ahead of the Street consensus forecast.  The earnings per share figure also reflects a +14.6% increase from the same period last year.

Total revenues of the company rose +8% to $60.6 billion, largely in-line with analysts' estimates.

Looking ahead, UnitedHealth expects its full-year net adjusted net earnings to be in the range of $14.70 to $14.90 per share, which is a small upgrade to the company's prior expectation.

However, CFO John Rex told investors that 2019 revenues would be "at or just slightly below" the forecast range of $243 billion to $245 billion.

Related Ticker: UNH

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


UNH saw its Stochastic Oscillator peaks and leaves the overbought zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for UNH moved out of overbought territory on October 28, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock and investors may want to consider selling or taking a defensive position. A.I.dvisor looked at 61 similar instances where the indicator exited the overbought zone. In 40 of the 61 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 66%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for UNH moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 19 of the 35 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 54%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UNH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.

UNH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 09, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on UNH as a result. In 50 of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for UNH just turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where UNH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 26 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.

UNH moved above its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for UNH crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.

Following a +4.44% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UNH advanced for three days, in 182 of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 116 of 245 cases where UNH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 47%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 10 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. UNH’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 55 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.711) is normal, around the industry mean (3.380). P/E Ratio (26.088) is within average values for comparable stocks, (124.266). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.025) is also within normal values, averaging (0.786). UNH has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.023) as compared to the industry average of (0.009). P/S Ratio (0.757) is also within normal values, averaging (0.569).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. UNH’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Unitedhealth Group (NYSE:UNH), CVS HEALTH Corp (NYSE:CVS), Elevance Health (NYSE:ELV), Cigna Group (The) (NYSE:CI), Humana (NYSE:HUM), Centene Corp (NYSE:CNC).

Industry description

Managed healthcare industry focuses on providing health/medical and disability insurance plans, generally intended to reduce the cost of for-profit health care. The insurance products might be provided through employer-paid (fully or partly) insurance and benefit programs, or through Medicare/Medicaid. Some of the largest providers of managed health care include Aetna, Humana Inc., and Cigna, and UnitedHealthcare.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Managed Health Care Industry is 69.13B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 335.99K to 365.29B. UNH holds the highest valuation in this group at 365.29B. The lowest valued company is IHGP at 335.99K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Managed Health Care Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 25%. PGNY experienced the highest price growth at 1%, while ALHC experienced the biggest fall at -10%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Managed Health Care Industry was 35%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 4% and the average quarterly volume growth was -17%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 39
Price Growth Rating: 36
SMR Rating: 72
Profit Risk Rating: 83
Seasonality Score: -15 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of hospital and medical service plans

Industry ManagedHealthCare

Industry
Managed Health Care
Address
1 Health Drive
Phone
+1 800 328-5979
Employees
390000
Web
https://www.unitedhealthgroup.com
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