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published in Blogs
Jan 06, 2021

UnitedHealth(UNH, $347.00) to buy Change Healthcare in $13 billion deal

UnitedHealth Group  agreed to acquire  healthcare technology company Change Healthcare  in a deal that values the latter at more than $13 billion.

As part of the deal, UnitedHealth will pay $25.75 a share in cash, which implies a 41% premium over Change Healthcare stock’s closing price Tuesday of $18.24. The valuation includes more than $5 billion of Change Healthcare debt. The deal is expected to close in the second half of 2021.

The acquisition will see Change Healthcare combining with UnitedHealth’s OptumInsight unit to offer data analytics, software and other services to the health-care industry.

According to the two companies, the deal will help simplify services around medical care and lower costs.

Private-equity funds affiliated with Blackstone Group that own about 20% of Change Healthcare’s common stock have agreed to vote in favor of the deal. The deal is expected to increase UnitedHealth’s adjusted per-share earnings by 50 cents in 2022, the companies said.

Related Ticker: UNH

UNH sees its 50-day moving average cross bearishly below its 200-day moving average

The 50-day moving average for UNH moved below the 200-day moving average on January 31, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 07, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UNH as a result. In of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for UNH turned negative on February 10, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

UNH moved below its 50-day moving average on February 14, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UNH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

UNH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on January 13, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The 10-day moving average for UNH crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on February 05, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UNH advanced for three days, in of 346 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 231 cases where UNH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: UNH's P/B Ratio (5.086) is slightly higher than the industry average of (3.063). P/E Ratio (20.524) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.509). UNH's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.382) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.089). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.020) among similar stocks. UNH's P/S Ratio (1.236) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.684).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. UNH’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Unitedhealth Group (NYSE:UNH), Elevance Health (NYSE:ELV), Cigna Group (The) (NYSE:CI), CVS HEALTH Corp (NYSE:CVS), Humana (NYSE:HUM), Centene Corp (NYSE:CNC).

Industry description

Managed healthcare industry focuses on providing health/medical and disability insurance plans, generally intended to reduce the cost of for-profit health care. The insurance products might be provided through employer-paid (fully or partly) insurance and benefit programs, or through Medicare/Medicaid. Some of the largest providers of managed health care include Aetna, Humana Inc., and Cigna, and UnitedHealthcare.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Managed Health Care Industry is 68.32B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.42M to 451.47B. UNH holds the highest valuation in this group at 451.47B. The lowest valued company is HRAA at 3.42M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Managed Health Care Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -6%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4%. CVS experienced the highest price growth at 22%, while OSCR experienced the biggest fall at -8%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Managed Health Care Industry was 13%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -18% and the average quarterly volume growth was -1%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 61
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 83
Profit Risk Rating: 81
Seasonality Score: -55 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a provider of hospital and medical service plans

Industry ManagedHealthCare

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Managed Health Care
Address
9900 Bren Road East
Phone
+1 952 936-1300
Employees
440000
Web
https://www.unitedhealthgroup.com
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