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Nov 13, 2018
UPFINA: New Home Inventory Forecasts A Recession

UPFINA: New Home Inventory Forecasts A Recession

It seems like almost every new data point on housing shows weakness. That’s because even though millennials are entering their prime age for home buying, starter homes have become unaffordable. Housing prices for houses less than 75% of the cost of median houses increased 8.9% from September 2016 to September 2017 which was above the 6.4% increase for all homes. Millennials are delaying home buying which is also delaying peak demand. The most common age is 27 in 2018. Millennials waiting until their early 30s to buy a house pushes off this demand. Even though the labor market is extremely robust as weekly wage growth is at a cycle high and the underemployment rate is at a cycle low, shelter inflation outperforming overall CPI has taken a toll on affordability.  

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Related Ticker: RWO

RWO's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for RWO turned positive on July 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where RWO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on July 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on RWO as a result. In of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

RWO moved above its 50-day moving average on June 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RWO advanced for three days, in of 326 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 308 cases where RWO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for RWO moved out of overbought territory on July 20, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 29 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RWO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

RWO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are PROLOGIS (NYSE:PLD), Simon Property Group (NYSE:SPG), Tanger (NYSE:SKT), Innovative Industrial Properties (NYSE:IIPR).

Industry description

The investment seeks to provide investment results that, before fees and expenses, correspond generally to the total return performance of the Dow Jones Global Select Real Estate Securities Indexsm based upon the global real estate market. The fund generally invests substantially all, but at least 80%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index and in depositary receipts based on securities comprising the index. The index is a float-adjusted market capitalization index designed to measure the performance of publicly traded global real estate securities.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the State Street® SPDR® Dow Jones® GlbRE ETF ETF is 19.17B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.5M to 177.94B. WELL holds the highest valuation in this group at 177.94B. The lowest valued company is GRI at 2.5M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the State Street® SPDR® Dow Jones® GlbRE ETF ETF was 1%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 14%. DLR experienced the highest price growth at 14%, while CAST experienced the biggest fall at -27%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the State Street® SPDR® Dow Jones® GlbRE ETF ETF was 25%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was -2% and the average quarterly volume growth was 25%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 53
Price Growth Rating: 46
SMR Rating: 76
Profit Risk Rating: 71
Seasonality Score: 23 (-100 ... +100)
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Category GlobalRealEstate

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