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Nov 13, 2018
UPFINA: New Home Inventory Forecasts A Recession

UPFINA: New Home Inventory Forecasts A Recession

It seems like almost every new data point on housing shows weakness. That’s because even though millennials are entering their prime age for home buying, starter homes have become unaffordable. Housing prices for houses less than 75% of the cost of median houses increased 8.9% from September 2016 to September 2017 which was above the 6.4% increase for all homes. Millennials are delaying home buying which is also delaying peak demand. The most common age is 27 in 2018. Millennials waiting until their early 30s to buy a house pushes off this demand. Even though the labor market is extremely robust as weekly wage growth is at a cycle high and the underemployment rate is at a cycle low, shelter inflation outperforming overall CPI has taken a toll on affordability.  

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Related Ticker: RWO

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Allana's AvatarAllana|Expert

Financial analyst and market blogger with expertise in equity research, fundamental analysis, and macroeconomic trends. I regularly publish coverage on individual stocks, ETFs, and sector developments — combining rigorous financial analysis with clear, engaging writing for a broad investment audience.


RWO in -1.51% downward trend, sliding for three consecutive days on October 01, 2026

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where RWO declined for three days, in 227 of 279 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Aroon Indicator for RWO entered a downward trend on October 09, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where RWO's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 23 of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 11 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +1.20% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RWO advanced for three days, in 268 of 330 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

RWO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are PROLOGIS (NYSE:PLD), Simon Property Group (NYSE:SPG), Tanger (NYSE:SKT), Innovative Industrial Properties (NYSE:IIPR).

Industry description

The investment seeks to provide investment results that, before fees and expenses, correspond generally to the total return performance of the Dow Jones Global Select Real Estate Securities Indexsm based upon the global real estate market. The fund generally invests substantially all, but at least 80%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index and in depositary receipts based on securities comprising the index. The index is a float-adjusted market capitalization index designed to measure the performance of publicly traded global real estate securities.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the State Street SPDR Dow Jones Global Real Estate ETF (RWO) ETF is 14.57B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 160.05M to 167.86B. WELL holds the highest valuation in this group at 167.86B. The lowest valued company is SITC at 160.05M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the State Street SPDR Dow Jones Global Real Estate ETF (RWO) ETF was -0%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was -5%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2%. NXRT experienced the highest price growth at 4%, while FRMI experienced the biggest fall at -15%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the State Street SPDR Dow Jones Global Real Estate ETF (RWO) ETF was -21%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was -18% and the average quarterly volume growth was -8%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 56
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 80
Seasonality Score: 36 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

Category GlobalRealEstate

Category
Global Real Estate
Address
SPDR Index Shares FundsOne Lincoln Street,Cph0326Boston
Phone
N/A
Web
www.spdrs.com
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