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Allana's Avatar
published in Blogs
Nov 13, 2018

UPFINA: New Home Inventory Forecasts A Recession

It seems like almost every new data point on housing shows weakness. That’s because even though millennials are entering their prime age for home buying, starter homes have become unaffordable. Housing prices for houses less than 75% of the cost of median houses increased 8.9% from September 2016 to September 2017 which was above the 6.4% increase for all homes. Millennials are delaying home buying which is also delaying peak demand. The most common age is 27 in 2018. Millennials waiting until their early 30s to buy a house pushes off this demand. Even though the labor market is extremely robust as weekly wage growth is at a cycle high and the underemployment rate is at a cycle low, shelter inflation outperforming overall CPI has taken a toll on affordability.  

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Related Ticker: RWO

RWO's Stochastic Oscillator remains in oversold zone for 8 days

The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where RWO's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RWO advanced for three days, in of 336 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

RWO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 331 cases where RWO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 12, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on RWO as a result. In of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for RWO turned negative on May 15, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

RWO moved below its 50-day moving average on May 16, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for RWO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 24, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RWO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are PROLOGIS (NYSE:PLD), Simon Property Group (NYSE:SPG), Tanger Factory Outlet Centers (NYSE:SKT), Innovative Industrial Properties (NYSE:IIPR).

Industry description

The investment seeks to provide investment results that, before fees and expenses, correspond generally to the total return performance of the Dow Jones Global Select Real Estate Securities Indexsm based upon the global real estate market. The fund generally invests substantially all, but at least 80%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index and in depositary receipts based on securities comprising the index. The index is a float-adjusted market capitalization index designed to measure the performance of publicly traded global real estate securities.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the SPDR® Dow Jones Global Real Estate ETF ETF is 10.61B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 16.32M to 114.8B. PLD holds the highest valuation in this group at 114.8B. The lowest valued company is GRI at 16.32M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the SPDR® Dow Jones Global Real Estate ETF ETF was -1%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5%. RTL experienced the highest price growth at 26%, while GRI experienced the biggest fall at -18%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the SPDR® Dow Jones Global Real Estate ETF ETF was -4%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was -8% and the average quarterly volume growth was -1%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 61
P/E Growth Rating: 62
Price Growth Rating: 62
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 72
Seasonality Score: 36 (-100 ... +100)
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

Category GlobalRealEstate

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Category
Global Real Estate
Address
SPDR Index Shares FundsOne Lincoln Street,Cph0326Boston
Phone
N/A
Web
www.spdrs.com
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RWO and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RWO has been closely correlated with REET. These tickers have moved in lockstep 99% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RWO jumps, then REET could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To RWO
1D Price
Change %
RWO100%
+0.23%
REET - RWO
99%
Closely correlated
+0.27%
RITA - RWO
97%
Closely correlated
+0.34%
AVRE - RWO
94%
Closely correlated
+0.20%
GQRE - RWO
92%
Closely correlated
+0.18%
AWP - RWO
87%
Closely correlated
+0.27%
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