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published in Blogs
Aug 01, 2018
Upping the Trade War Ante

Upping the Trade War Ante

The ongoing trade dispute between the United States and China continues to bubble, with no clear end in sight. To date, even though big numbers have been thrown around, there are only $50 billion of tariffs that have actually been implemented on products, leaving the current impact of the trade war as relatively small. But that could change in the not-too-distant future.

The Wall St. Journal reported this week that some administration advisers are urging President Trump to up the trade war ante by charging more tariffs for more goods. The Trump administration has a proposal on the table for 10% tariffs on $200 billion in Chinese imports, but some advisors are urging President Trump to raise that number to 25%. The hope is that doing so could bring Chinese trade officials to the table, but whether or not that is an effective tactic is a different story. As a communist state, China is in a better position to hold ground without facing opposition from the public or business community. 

Related Ticker: CHIQ

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


CHIQ in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on August 31, 2026

CHIQ moved below its 50-day moving average on August 31, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 40 of 44 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day moving average for CHIQ crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 03, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CHIQ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

The Aroon Indicator for CHIQ entered a downward trend on October 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CHIQ's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 28 of 29 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +0.43% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CHIQ advanced for three days, in 226 of 270 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

CHIQ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are PDD Holdings (NASDAQ:PDD), H World Group Limited (NASDAQ:HTHT), TAL Education Group (NYSE:TAL), Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS).

Industry description

The investment seeks to provide investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance of the MSCI China Consumer Discretionary 10/50 Index. The fund invests at least 80% of its total assets in the securities of the underlying index and in ADRs and GDRs based on the securities in the underlying index. The underlying index tracks the performance of companies in the MSCI China Index (the "parent index") that are classified in the consumer discretionary sector, as defined by the index provider. The fund is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Global X MSCI China Consumer Discretionary ETF (CHIQ) ETF is 29.98B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 5.93B to 111.72B. PDD holds the highest valuation in this group at 111.72B. The lowest valued company is VIPS at 5.93B.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Global X MSCI China Consumer Discretionary ETF (CHIQ) ETF was -1%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was -8%, and the average quarterly price growth was -22%. TAL experienced the highest price growth at 4%, while HTHT experienced the biggest fall at -4%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Global X MSCI China Consumer Discretionary ETF (CHIQ) ETF was 5%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was -46% and the average quarterly volume growth was -37%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 44
P/E Growth Rating: 74
Price Growth Rating: 65
SMR Rating: 43
Profit Risk Rating: 90
Seasonality Score: 24 (-100 ... +100)
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