UPS (UPS, $194.62) beats Q1 earnings expectations
United Parcel Service reported first quarter earnings that surpassed expectations.
The delivery company’s adjusted net income came in at $5.47 a share, vs. an adjusted loss of -$2.87 a share in the year-ago quarter. Analysts polled by FactSet had expected earnings of $1.72 a share.
Revenue surged +27% from the year-ago period to $22.9 billion, also beating analysts’ expectation of $20.49 billion.
The company’s revenue in its U.S. domestic unit rose 22.3%, led by growth from small- and medium-sized businesses.
UPS has been benefitting from increased online deliveries as consumers staying at home during the pandemic order various items on digital platforms. It is also delivering COVID-19 vaccines.
“During the quarter, we continued to execute our strategy under the better not bigger framework, which enabled us to win the best opportunities in the market and drove record financial results,” CEO Carol Tome said in a statement.
Citing “continued economic uncertainty”, the company did not provide any projection for 2021 revenue or diluted earnings per share.
UPS saw its Stochastic Oscillator recovers from the overbought zone
The Stochastic Oscillator for UPS moved out of overbought territory on June 13, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock and investors may want to consider selling or taking a defensive position. A.I.dvisor looked at 62 similar instances where the indicator exited the overbought zone. In of the 62 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UPS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
UPS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 10, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 04, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on UPS as a result. In of 96 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
UPS moved above its 50-day moving average on June 06, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for UPS crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on June 06, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UPS advanced for three days, in of 318 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 224 cases where UPS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.278) is normal, around the industry mean (20.642). P/E Ratio (18.926) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.262). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.752) is also within normal values, averaging (10.503). Dividend Yield (0.044) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.396) is also within normal values, averaging (1.303).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. UPS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. UPS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
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General Information
a provider of global package delivery and supply chain management solutions
Industry AirFreightCouriers
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