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Apr 27, 2021
UPS (UPS, $194.62) beats Q1 earnings expectations

UPS (UPS, $194.62) beats Q1 earnings expectations

United Parcel Service reported first quarter earnings that surpassed expectations.  

The delivery company’s adjusted net income came in at $5.47 a share, vs. an adjusted loss of -$2.87 a share in the year-ago quarter. Analysts polled by FactSet had expected earnings of $1.72 a share.

Revenue surged +27% from the year-ago period to $22.9 billion, also beating analysts’ expectation of $20.49 billion.

The company’s revenue in its U.S. domestic unit rose 22.3%, led by growth from small- and medium-sized businesses.

UPS has been benefitting from increased online deliveries as consumers staying at home during the pandemic order various items on digital platforms. It is also delivering COVID-19 vaccines.

“During the quarter, we continued to execute our strategy under the better not bigger framework, which enabled us to win the best opportunities in the market and drove record financial results,” CEO Carol Tome said in a statement. 

Citing “continued economic uncertainty”, the company did not provide any projection for 2021 revenue or diluted earnings per share.

Related Ticker: UPS

UPS's RSI Indicator leaves overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Oscillator for UPS moved out of overbought territory on April 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 28 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UPS as a result. In of 99 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for UPS turned negative on May 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

UPS moved below its 50-day moving average on May 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for UPS crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 13, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UPS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UPS advanced for three days, in of 309 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

UPS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 192 cases where UPS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.333) is normal, around the industry mean (3.066). P/E Ratio (16.008) is within average values for comparable stocks, (180.325). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.561) is also within normal values, averaging (1.776). UPS has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.066) as compared to the industry average of (0.029). P/S Ratio (0.952) is also within normal values, averaging (0.966).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. UPS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. UPS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are FedEx Corp (NYSE:FDX), United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS), C.H. Robinson Worldwide (NASDAQ:CHRW).

Industry description

Other Transportation includes transportation services like providing airport ground transportation, airport management and equipment, shipping services, as well as businesses that operate bridges, expressways and other public services such as taxis and subways. Grupo Aero-pac, Corporacion America Airports S.A. and Matson, Inc. are some of the major companies operating in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Other Transportation Industry is 11.03B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.21M to 89.66B. FDX holds the highest valuation in this group at 89.66B. The lowest valued company is SGLY at 3.21M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Other Transportation Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -0%, and the average quarterly price growth was 6%. JANL experienced the highest price growth at 20%, while CTNT experienced the biggest fall at -37%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Other Transportation Industry was -35%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -46% and the average quarterly volume growth was -4%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 59
P/E Growth Rating: 50
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 73
Profit Risk Rating: 89
Seasonality Score: 7 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of global package delivery and supply chain management solutions

Industry OtherTransportation

Profile
Details
Industry
Air Freight Or Couriers
Address
55 Glenlake Parkway
Phone
+1 404 828-6000
Employees
500000
Web
https://www.ups.com
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