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Sep 10, 2019
Upward trend holds for Palo Alto Networks after earnings

Upward trend holds for Palo Alto Networks after earnings

Santa Clara-based Palo Alto Networks (NYSE: PANW) reported earnings on September 4. The software security firm beat both earnings and revenue estimates for the fiscal fourth quarter, but the forward guidance was a little below analysts’ estimates. The overall reaction from investors was a positive one as the stock jumped when it opened for trading on September 5.

Looking at the weekly chart for Palo Alto, we see that the stock was trading just above its 104-week (two years of data) moving average and just above a trend line that connects the lows from the last three years. The bounce after the earnings report allowed the two support levels to remain in place as the stock moved back above its 52-week moving average.

The weekly overbought/oversold indicators had dropped down in the four weeks heading in to the earnings report, but they hadn’t reached oversold territory. Over the last three and a half years, the 10-week RSI has only been in oversold territory on two occasions. The weekly stochastic readings have been there five times in the same time period.

Tickeron’s Technical Analysis overview shows several additional bullish signs for Palo Alto and those indications are based on the daily indicators. The stochastic indicators made a bullish crossover and that suggests the stock may be in a reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend. In 38 of 50 cases where Palo Alto's stochastic indicator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued uptrend are 76%.

Following a 3-day advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where Palo Alto advanced for three days, in 261 of 356 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued uptrend are 73%.

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downtrend to an uptrend -- in cases where Palo Alto's RSI indicator exited the oversold zone, 10 of 14 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued Uptrend are 71%.

Fundamentally, the company has performed extremely well over the last few years. Earnings have grown by a rate of 46% annually over the last three years and they were up by 10% in the fourth quarter. Sales increased by 22% in the fourth quarter and have increased by an average of 28% per year over the last three years.

In addition to the strong earnings and sales growth, the company’s management efficiency measurements are well above average as well. The company boasts a return on equity of 42.3% and the profit margin is at 23.1%.

Sentiment toward Palo Alto is mixed at this time. Analysts are pretty bullish on the stock with 30 out of 35 analysts rating the stock as a “buy”. There are four “hold” ratings and one “sell” rating. This puts the buy percentage at 85.7% and that is well above average.

The short interest ratio is at 4.3 currently and that is slightly above average. I wrote about Palo Alto back in November ahead of another earnings report and the short interest ratio back then was at 2.8. This means that pessimism toward the stock is higher than the average stock and investors have been getting more bearish over the last nine months.

The put/call ratio for Palo Alto was at 1.35 ahead of the earnings report and that is higher than the average stock and is indicative of pessimism. There were 42,170 puts open at the time and 31,241 calls open.

With the combination of solid fundamentals, an upward trend on the stock, and an overall bearish sentiment from short sellers and option traders, Palo Alto looks poised to continue its upward trend.

Related Ticker: PANW

PANW in +6.64% Uptrend, rising for three consecutive days on June 26, 2026

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where PANW advanced for three days, in of 360 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 17, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PANW as a result. In of 79 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PANW just turned positive on June 29, 2026. Looking at past instances where PANW's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 267 cases where PANW Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for PANW moved out of overbought territory on July 07, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 40 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 13 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

PANW broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. PANW’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.970) is normal, around the industry mean (14.279). PANW has a moderately high P/E Ratio (294.183) as compared to the industry average of (71.237). PANW's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (5.521) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.890). PANW has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.022). P/S Ratio (23.474) is also within normal values, averaging (135.479).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Palo Alto Networks Inc (NASDAQ:PANW), Crowdstrike Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:CRWD), Block Inc (NYSE:XYZ), NetApp (NASDAQ:NTAP), Twilio (NYSE:TWLO), MongoDB (NASDAQ:MDB), Okta (NASDAQ:OKTA), Zscaler (NASDAQ:ZS).

Industry description

Computer communications industry develops technology that allows computing devices to exchange data with each other using connections/data links between nodes. Common types of computer network include Cloud (IAN), Internet, Wide (WAN, Local (LAN)/Wireless(WLAN) etc. The industry is an ever-more important part of technology, and is set to become even bigger as the Internet of Things (IoT) rapidly forays into the various aspects of our lives. Cisco Systems, Inc., Palo Alto Networks, Inc. and Arista Networks, Inc., Fortinet, Inc. are some of the major computer communications companies.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Computer Communications Industry is 29.79B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 48.8K to 2.86T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.86T. The lowest valued company is WMHI at 48.8K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Computer Communications Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 8%. BAND experienced the highest price growth at 27%, while ALAR experienced the biggest fall at -61%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Computer Communications Industry was -29%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -29% and the average quarterly volume growth was -29%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 46
P/E Growth Rating: 72
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 80
Profit Risk Rating: 92
Seasonality Score: -4 (-100 ... +100)
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a provider of network security solutions

Industry ComputerCommunications

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Industry
Computer Communications
Address
3000 Tannery Way
Phone
+1 408 753-4000
Employees
16068
Web
https://www.paloaltonetworks.com
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Upward trend holds for Palo Alto Networks after earnings